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Capitals at Maple Leafs
NHL

Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸5
Toronto Maple Leafs
2
FinalTV NHLN, MNMT2·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Capitals led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nic Dowd's goal at 9:53 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were WSH 32, TOR 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Matt Murray stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (35 saves, .946), 2. Andrew Mangiapane (1 G, 1 A), 3. John Tavares (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Thompson35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Mangiapane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2151829532
TORTOR114113010237

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(18)
    S. Benoit (4), M. Pacioretty (7)
    deflectedxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:14
  2. WSH
    A. Mangiapane(8)
    H. Lapierre (8)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:46
  3. WSH
    J. Chychrun(10)
    T. van Riemsdyk (12), T. Raddysh (12)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:54

2nd period

  1. TOR
    B. McMann(10)
    M. Domi (10), M. Marner (37)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:10
  2. WSH
    N. Dowd(9)
    R. Sandin (11), A. Mangiapane (6)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:53

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(14)PPG
    J. Chychrun (13), D. Strome (28)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-2
    12:36
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(16)EN
    A. Protas (16), P. Dubois (22)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:37

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·TOR 2 PIM

2nd

  • 15:41WSHAliaksei Protas · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

3rd

  • 2:00WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Hookingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 11:17TORJake McCabe · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Mangiapane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalWSH goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Nic Dowd, 2nd 9:53 — WSH 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.47W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.33B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.23M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.21J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.19W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.17C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.14M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.14W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.14B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.12M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.12P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.11N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.09J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.08M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.08W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.07N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dewar · Missed · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.05O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.03C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.03S. Lorentz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.03C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01C. Timmins · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.01B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01S. Benoit · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.00C. Timmins · On goal · xG 0.00M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR2 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsTOR
3.24 G
All situations
2 G3.8
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH27%73%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsTOR
32
Shots on goal
37
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
28
17
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3M. RoyD000-110.04130—20:54
42M. FehérváryD000-200.00320—20:44
74J. CarlsonD000+110.20120—20:43
6J. ChychrunD112+340.09110—20:00
57T. van RiemsdykD011+210.03000—19:01
38R. SandinD011+120.03130—18:46
24C. McMichaelL000-210.07010—18:43
43T. WilsonR101-130.49510—18:14
80P. DuboisC011-110.040126416:37
17D. StromeC011050.440204415:55
26N. DowdC101+220.150003815:53
22B. DuhaimeL000+110.08110—15:12
8A. OvechkinL101031.00300—14:58
21A. ProtasL011+100.00002—14:01
16T. RaddyshR011+220.16000—13:59
88A. MangiapaneL112+210.21000—11:49
13J. VranaL000+130.19000—10:32
29H. LapierreC011+110.021004409:59
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)37352.9463.79+1.7960:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).