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Maple Leafs at Capitals
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸4
Washington Capitals
3
Final/OTTV MNMT, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Washington Capitals 4-3 in overtime, John Tavares scoring at 4:13. The Maple Leafs came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Tavares's goal at 4:13 of overtime, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.1 to 3.0; shots on goal were TOR 34, WSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Logan Thompson stopped 30 of 34 (.882). Three stars: 1. John Tavares (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aliaksei Protas (1 G, 1 A), 3. William Nylander (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Protas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    W. Nylander1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
TORTOR150921713434
WSHWSH211160703327

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Raddysh(3)
    C. McMichael (7), P. Dubois (8)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:12
  2. TOR
    B. McMann(4)
    J. Tavares (7), P. Holmberg (2)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    12:11
  3. WSH
    D. Strome(5)
    A. Protas (9), M. Roy (2)
    snapxG 0.47win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:33

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Protas(6)
    R. Sandin (6), A. Ovechkin (9)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:48

3rd period

  1. TOR
    W. Nylander(12)
    M. Knies (4)
    snapxG 0.76win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:51
  2. TOR
    M. Marner(5)PPG
    M. Rielly (9), W. Nylander (8)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-3
    19:12

Overtime

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(9)
    M. Marner (17)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    4:13

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:38TORPontus Holmberg · Boardingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 5:55WSHJakob Chychrun · Slashingdrawn by William Nylander2 min

3rd

  • 19:07WSHNic Dowd · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalTOR goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: John Tavares, OT 4:13 — TOR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.47T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.19T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.17T. Raddysh · Goal · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.16J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.14J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.14A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.13T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.06N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.06J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.05A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.04C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsWSH
4.14 G
All situations
3 G3.0
3.93 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR67%33%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.88 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsWSH
34
Shots on goal
27
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
13
Hits
21
12
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD000010.01230—24:01
44M. RiellyD011050.33020—23:08
16M. MarnerR112+120.32200—22:24
88W. NylanderR112-120.840005622:16
11M. DomiC000-120.350004020:58
91J. TavaresC112+110.250104820:56
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000020.05000—20:55
23M. KniesL011-120.44100—20:33
8C. TanevD000-100.00040—20:15
74B. McMannC101080.93200018:24
25C. TimminsD000+100.00010—16:44
28J. HakanpääD000-120.03110—15:36
29P. HolmbergR011000.00002—14:38
64D. KampfC000000.000005614:21
46A. SteevesC000030.20100014:09
18S. LorentzC000010.09200008:34
24C. DewarC000030.26000007:44
75R. ReavesR000000.00200—06:22
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)27243.8892.87-0.1362:54

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).