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Sabres at Canadiens
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
Montréal Canadiens
▸6
FinalTV MSG-B, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Juraj Slafkovský's goal at 5:54 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were BUF 21, MTL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 15 of 21 (.714), 3.4 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Patrik Laine (3 G), 2. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Anderson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    P. Laine3 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Anderson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0311008121
MTLMTL21141006627

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(5)
    J. Evans (11), E. Heineman (4)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:19
  2. MTL
    P. Laine(4)PPG
    N. Suzuki (20), J. Slafkovský (14)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:26

2nd period

  1. BUF
    D. Cozens(7)
    J. Peterka (13), O. Power (16)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:43
  2. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(3)
    C. Caufield (11), D. Savard (6)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:54
  3. MTL
    P. Laine(5)PPG
    N. Suzuki (21), L. Hutson (20)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-4
    9:45
  4. MTL
    P. Laine(6)PPG
    C. Caufield (12), L. Hutson (21)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-5
    10:55
  5. MTL
    J. Anderson(6)
    C. Dvorak (8), B. Gallagher (7)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    19:15

Penalties

BUF 12 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:06BUFZach Benson · Holdingdrawn by Lane Hutson2 min
  • 9:35BUFMattias Samuelsson · Interferencedrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 12:16MTLDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

2nd

  • 8:02BUFBowen Byram · Slashingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 9:30BUFAlex Tuch · High stickingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 10:11BUFDylan Cozens · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:47MTLAlex Newhook · Roughingdrawn by Owen Power2 min

3rd

  • 3:26MTLLane Hutson · Cross checkingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min
  • 4:34MTLJoel Armia · Hookingdrawn by Owen Power2 min
  • 16:34BUFDennis Gilbert · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min
  • 19:20MTLJoel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalBUF goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Juraj Slafkovský, 2nd 5:54 — MTL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.30J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.21A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.20C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.18A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.16P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.16C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.15M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.15P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.12P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.12K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.11M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.11A. Newhook · Missed · xG 0.10P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.10J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.05M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.04K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.01J. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.01E. Heineman · On goal · xG 0.01
MTL6 G · 3.0 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsMTL
2.51 G
All situations
6 G3.0
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
3 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF40%60%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsMTL
21
Shots on goal
27
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/5
Power play
3/6
12
Penalty minutes
10
26
Hits
7
13
Blocked shots
23
11
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4B. ByramD000-100.06112—24:11
25O. PowerD011-110.14100—23:39
23M. SamuelssonD000-230.24122—20:39
10H. JokiharjuD000-100.01100—18:19
77J. PeterkaR011000.22000—17:55
22J. QuinnR000-110.02020—17:19
9Z. BensonL000-130.30012—17:14
72T. ThompsonC000000.131005617:08
24D. CozensC101030.124123316:48
89A. TuchR000020.25112—14:34
75C. CliftonD000020.03310—14:18
19P. KrebsC000-100.042005013:59
20J.KulichC000010.200006013:54
71R. McLeodC000-110.140106412:53
17J. ZuckerL000-120.23300—12:35
29B. MalenstynL000000.19410—12:00
8D. GilbertD000+110.02112—11:55
96N. Aube-KubelR000-110.14310—11:12
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(L)21156.7142.57-3.4340:00
47J. Reimer6601.0000.48+0.4820:00

Season series

MTL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).