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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
3
Vegas Golden Knights
▸4
FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN3·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Howden's goal at 15:55 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.7 to 2.1; shots on goal were WPG 25, VGK 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.6 goals below expected; Adin Hill stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brett Howden (2 G), 2. Ivan Barbashev (2 G), 3. Jack Eichel (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    B. Howden2 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    I. Barbashev2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1619110325
VGKVGK2140729430

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    C. Perfetti(5)
    J. Morrissey (19), N. Ehlers (16)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:57
  2. VGK
    B. Howden(9)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:13
  3. VGK
    I. Barbashev(11)
    P. Dorofeyev (4), J. Eichel (27)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:44

2nd period

  1. WPG
    C. Perfetti(6)
    J. Morrissey (20), V. Namestnikov (9)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:28

3rd period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(12)
    J. Eichel (28), P. Dorofeyev (5)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:43
  2. WPG
    N. Pionk(4)
    H. Fleury (2), K. Connor (16)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +29 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:55
  3. VGK
    B. Howden(10)
    W. Karlsson (7), S. Theodore (17)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-4
    15:55

Penalties

WPG 4 PIM·VGK 6 PIM

1st

  • 2:36WPGKyle Connor · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 9:03WPGKyle Connor · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 15:20VGKBrett Howden · Holdingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

2nd

  • 6:27VGKCallahan Burke · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Vilardi2 min

3rd

  • 17:16VGKBrayden McNabb · Trippingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Howden, 3rd 15:55 — VGK 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.28J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.27T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.19B. Howden · Goal · xG 0.18W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.16P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.13P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.11W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.10P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.09B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.06N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Burke · On goal · xG 0.01C. Schwindt · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
2.13 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.43 G
Even strength
4 G2.0
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG43%57%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
25
Shots on goal
30
31%
Faceoffs
69%
0/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
8
18
Giveaways
14
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD022+110.09000—25:55
81K. ConnorL011+110.03004—23:21
55M. ScheifeleC000+220.53010022:56
13G. VilardiC000+130.110302922:15
4N. PionkD101-120.11100—21:49
2D. DeMeloD000010.01130—21:13
24H. FleuryD011-110.02110—17:28
62N. NiederreiterR000010.02200—16:35
17A. LowryC000-200.022002916:03
22M. AppletonC000-230.04300015:42
91C. PerfettiC202+130.18320015:31
7V. NamestnikovC011-110.271004515:04
9A. IafalloL000-120.29120—15:04
52D. CoghlanD000-120.13100—14:38
64L. StanleyD000000.01100—14:31
15R. KupariC000-100.003001307:00
27N. EhlersL011010.12000—06:23
36M. BarronC000-110.1020010006:13
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(L)30264.8672.43-1.5758:19

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).