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Jets at Golden Knights
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV SCRIPPS, TSN3·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Lowry's goal at 18:15 of the first period, which took the Jets' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were WPG 22, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Eric Comrie stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Comrie (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Mark Scheifele (1 G), 3. Adam Lowry (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    E. Comrie26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Lowry1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG2111813422
VGKVGK0507014026

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:01
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.25win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:15

2nd period

  1. WPG
    C. Miller(4)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    11:53

3rd period

  1. WPG
    backhandxG 0.36Video
    4-0
    19:08

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:40WPGColin Miller · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min

2nd

  • 10:01VGKNicolas Roy · High stickingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

3rd

  • 5:55VGKBrayden McNabb · Trippingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalWPG goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Lowry, 1st 18:15 — WPG 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.18M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.15M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.14B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.13B. Howden · Missed · xG 0.09V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.08N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.06B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.06R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.06M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kolesar · Missed · xG 0.06W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.04S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03N. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.01W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01P. Dorofeyev · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.01B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.00K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · Missed · xG 0.00W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK0 G · 2.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsVGK
1.83 G
All situations
0 G2.1
1.32 G
Even strength
0 G1.3
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG35%65%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.39 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsVGK
22
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
29
Hits
24
18
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
18
1
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000+110.05030—24:57
2D. DeMeloD000+110.01000—22:26
54D. SambergD000+100.00030—20:56
55M. ScheifeleC101+110.160005620:14
5L. SchennD011+100.00330—19:25
81K. ConnorL011+240.27010—19:13
22M. AppletonC011+110.03100017:33
9A. IafalloL011+110.14210—17:04
6C. MillerD101+110.06302—16:35
62N. NiederreiterR022+150.17310—16:30
91C. PerfettiC101+120.4321010015:19
17A. LowryC101+110.251003515:04
7V. NamestnikovC000+110.033003814:46
64L. StanleyD011+100.00010—13:20
27N. EhlersL000020.07020—12:35
36M. BarronC000000.004005012:28
73B. TanevL000010.10110—10:41
28J. Anderson-DolanC000000.00610008:54
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1E. Comrie(W)262601.0002.14+2.1460:00

Season series

VGK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).