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Blues at Hurricanes
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
1
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
FinalTV FDSNMW, FDSNSO·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the St. Louis Blues 4-1. The Blues scored first; the Hurricanes answered. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 12:26 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 2.6; shots on goal were STL 30, CAR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.0 goals below expected; Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (2 G, 2 A), 2. Eric Robinson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Pyotr Kochetkov (29 saves, .967).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    M. Necas2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    E. Robinson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    P. Kochetkov29 saves, .967

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL11101108130
CARCAR1725112424

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    J. Neighbours(5)
    J. Kyrou (11)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:05
  2. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(6)PPG
    M. Necas (18), S. Gostisbehere (9)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:35

2nd period

  1. CAR
    E. Robinson(5)
    D. Orlov (6), M. Necas (19)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:17
  2. CAR
    M. Necas(10)
    E. Robinson (6)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    12:26

3rd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(11)
    E. Robinson (7), J. Kotkaniemi (9)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-4
    16:47

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 19:00STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

2nd

  • 6:53CARJackson Blake · Interferencedrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 6:26STLMathieu Joseph · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:21STLMatthew Kessel · Interferencedrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalSTL goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 2nd 12:26 — CAR 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.26M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.19J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.17A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.14E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.13E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.11T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.10A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.08W. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.08J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.04S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.01W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.00D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR4 G · 3.0 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsCAR
2.61 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.61 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL43%57%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsCAR
30
Shots on goal
24
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
6
18
Giveaways
15
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22R. SuterD000-330.14100—24:28
55C. ParaykoD000-200.00110—24:23
72J. FaulkD000+130.17400—22:03
48S. PerunovichD000000.00030—17:42
63J. NeighboursL101020.23120—17:25
89P. BuchnevichL000-110.140003117:24
10B. SchennC000-110.022004117:07
81D. HollowayL000070.291006716:27
25J. KyrouR011030.36010—16:26
20B. SaadL000010.21000—15:19
64C. SchuenemanD000000.05110—15:05
26N. WalkerL000-120.10150—15:02
51M. KesselD000000.00522—14:40
12R. FaksaC000-100.062003314:12
13A. ToropchenkoR000-120.23100—14:05
70O. SundqvistC000-100.002223011:58
71M. JosephR000010.07202—11:07
9A. TexierL000040.51200—10:32
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer(L)24204.8332.97-1.0360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).