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Hurricanes at Blues
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
St. Louis Blues
▸4
FinalTV BSSO, BSMW·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kasperi Kapanen's goal at 4:26 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were CAR 40, STL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.1 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 37 of 40 (.925). Three stars: 1. Jake Neighbours (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mathieu Joseph (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Neighbours1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    M. Joseph1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11908213340
STLSTL0431114419

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(1)
    S. Aho (2), S. Jarvis (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:21

2nd period

  1. STL
    M. Joseph(2)
    B. Schenn (1), P. Joseph (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:22
  2. STL
    J. Neighbours(2)
    Z. Bolduc (2)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    11:35
  3. STL
    D. Holloway(1)
    P. Broberg (5), M. Joseph (1)
    pokexG 0.19win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:31

3rd period

  1. CAR
    S. Gostisbehere(3)PPG
    S. Aho (3), A. Svechnikov (3)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:39
  2. CAR
    J. Roslovic(2)
    J. Drury (1), J. Slavin (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    2:57
  3. STL
    K. Kapanen(1)
    J. Neighbours (1), C. Parayko (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:26

Penalties

CAR 14 PIM·STL 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:59STLJake Neighbours · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

2nd

  • 2:04CARShayne Gostisbehere · Interferencedrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 6:02CARShayne Gostisbehere · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 13:58CARSebastian Aho · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 13:58STLRobert Thomas · Roughingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 1:09STLColton Parayko · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:41CARSean Walker · Roughingdrawn by Zachary Bolduc2 min
  • 8:57STLPavel Buchnevich · High stickingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 13:46CARJaccob Slavin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 20:00STLBrayden Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 20:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 20:00CARAndrei Svechnikov · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCAR goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Kasperi Kapanen, 3rd 4:26 — STL 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.19R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.18B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.16K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.16J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.11M. Joseph · Goal · xG 0.10P. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.02N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neighbours · Goal · xG 0.01P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 1.9 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsSTL
2.73 G
All situations
4 G1.9
2.02 G
Even strength
4 G1.5
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR65%35%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 1.85

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsSTL
40
Shots on goal
19
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/3
Power play
0/4
14
Penalty minutes
10
13
Hits
27
5
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
18
9
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000-110.02020—22:51
74J. SlavinD011-120.01112—22:00
24S. JarvisR011050.511002721:03
20S. AhoC022030.180025320:19
37A. SvechnikovR112080.46104—19:38
7D. OrlovD000-110.07200—19:35
5J. ChatfieldD000-120.08100—18:34
4S. GostisbehereD101020.13114—17:48
88M. NecasC000-230.10100017:23
26S. WalkerD000010.01012—14:56
18J. DruryC011000.130004014:08
82J. KotkaniemiC000-200.000005014:07
48J. MartinookL000030.2810010013:07
53J. BlakeR000-250.49000—12:53
11J. StaalC000020.062005612:22
96J. RoslovicC101020.16000011:45
50E. RobinsonL000000.00200—10:58
28W. CarrierL000000.03000—08:37
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(L)19154.7891.86-2.1457:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).