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St. Louis Blues at Boston Bruins

Final/OTTV NHLN, FDSNMW·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Boston Bruins 3-2 in overtime, Brayden Schenn scoring at 2:53. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Schenn's goal at 2:53 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.2 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 31, BOS 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Joonas Korpisalo stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brayden Schenn (1 G), 2. Trent Frederic (2 G), 3. Radek Faksa (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    T. Frederic2 G
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. Faksa1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL1100911012331
BOSBOS27050600218

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:25
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.31win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:34
  3. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:12

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.06win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:18

Overtime

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:53

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:10STLJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 13:32BOSserved by Georgii Merkulov · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 19:08STLOskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min
  • 19:08BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 19:49BOSTrent Frederic · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Perunovich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalSTL goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Schenn, OT 2:53 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.31M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.20M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.18J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.12T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.11J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.09J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.09C. Koepke · Missed · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.07C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.07J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05G. Merkulov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brazeau · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Frederic · Goal · xG 0.03C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lohrei · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01
BOS2 G · 1.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsBOS
2.23 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL56%44%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 1.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsBOS
31
Shots on goal
18
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
9
18
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD011+120.04020—26:20
22R. SuterD000010.01100—25:24
72J. FaulkD000030.12202—22:33
10B. SchennC101+150.342205821:33
89P. BuchnevichL000020.170005320:56
81D. HollowayL000-140.28220—19:03
48S. PerunovichD011+120.04220—18:50
20B. SaadL000000.09000—18:47
63J. NeighboursL000020.09300—18:04
25J. KyrouR000+130.38100—16:31
64C. SchuenemanD000-100.00010—14:49
13A. ToropchenkoR022+110.02300—13:51
12R. FaksaC112+130.171002113:39
26N. WalkerL101+120.22410—12:09
51M. KesselD000000.02000—12:00
70O. SundqvistC000-100.003125010:56
76Z. BolducR000010.11100—10:16
71M. JosephR000-100.13200—08:58
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)18162.8891.92-0.0862:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).