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Bruins at Blues
NHL

Boston Bruins at St. Louis Blues

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Boston Bruins
▸3
St. Louis Blues
2
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Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2. The Bruins came back from two goals down. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 18:13 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were BOS 30, STL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Jordan Binnington stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 2. Charlie McAvoy (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS09010311330
STLSTL062808222

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(2)PPG
    J. Kyrou (9), P. Buchnevich (6)
    wristxG 0.46win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:24
  2. STL
    O. Sundqvist(2)PPG
    D. Holloway (3), B. Saad (4)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:12

3rd period

  1. BOS
    M. Geekie(1)
    D. Pastrnak (9)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:53
  2. BOS
    C. McAvoy(3)
    B. Marchand (8), J. Brazeau (3)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:15
  3. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(7)
    C. McAvoy (3), P. Zacha (4)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +47 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:13

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·STL 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:51STLAlexey Toropchenko · Cross checkingdrawn by Mason Lohrei2 min
  • 8:23STLPierre-Olivier Joseph · High stickingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 15:58BOSJustin Brazeau · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Olivier Joseph2 min

2nd

  • 1:02STLRyan Suter · Slashingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 8:24BOSCole Koepke · High stickingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 10:28BOSDavid Pastrnak · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Sundqvist2 min
  • 12:32STLRadek Faksa · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalBOS goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, 3rd 18:13 — BOS 48% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.46J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.25N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.24J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.18O. Sundqvist · Goal · xG 0.18J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.14J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.11N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.10O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.06N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.03P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.01J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.00J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.00N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.2 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsSTL
4.53 G
All situations
2 G2.2
3.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
1.10 G
Power play
2 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS84%16%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.36 – 2.09

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsSTL
30
Shots on goal
22
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
10
18
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD112+230.10300—25:08
88D. PastrnakR112+2100.68002—24:29
91N. ZadorovD000020.01310—22:07
25B. CarloD000+100.01200—21:55
18P. ZachaC011+230.950106720:32
6M. LohreiD000+200.09100—18:53
63B. MarchandL011+150.46100—18:10
29P. WotherspoonD000+110.01320—17:19
28E. LindholmC000+110.382005316:48
39M. GeekieC101+221.292102016:27
13C. CoyleC000000.000106015:43
11T. FredericC000000.11400013:40
47M. KastelicC000000.045005013:20
55J. BrazeauR011+100.13112—11:50
90T. JohnsonC000000.01100011:02
45C. KoepkeL000020.22102—10:55
19J. BeecherC000010.010206708:41
27H. LindholmD000000.00010—08:17
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(W)22202.9092.16+0.1660:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).