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Montréal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV FDSNNO, FDSNWI·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Boldy's goal at 12:43 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were MTL 19, MIN 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Filip Gustavsson stopped 19 of 19 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Matt Boldy (1 G), 2. Filip Gustavsson (19 saves, 1.000), 3. Brock Faber.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    F. Gustavsson19 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    B. Faber

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0207010019
MINMIN04111213328

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:43

3rd period

  1. MIN
    M. Rossi(5)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:19
  2. MIN
    wristxG 0.91Video
    0-3
    19:40

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

2nd

  • 0:31MINMarco Rossi · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

3rd

  • 4:09MINMatt Boldy · Interferencedrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 6:16MINJakub Lauko · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 6:16MTLBrendan Gallagher · Slashingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 8:22MTLJayden Struble · High sticking double minordrawn by Jared Spurgeon4 min
  • 13:07MINMarat Khusnutdinov · High stickingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min
  • 16:21MTLLane Hutson · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalMTL goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Boldy, 2nd 12:43 — MIN 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.91K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.10M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.10M. Rossi · Goal · xG 0.09K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.05D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.05D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.04J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauko · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · Missed · xG 0.00M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsMIN
1.50 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.10 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 67 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL48%52%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 1.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsMIN
19
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/3
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
22
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
16
9
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000-110.15100—28:19
21K. GuhleD000010.13130—21:31
48L. HutsonD000-220.10002—20:16
77K. DachC000-120.134005019:20
14N. SuzukiC000-120.150004718:29
58D. SavardD000-100.00130—18:01
20J. SlafkovskýL000-110.20200—17:58
13C. CaufieldR000-120.17110—17:54
71J. EvansC000-100.001007316:50
40J. ArmiaR000010.12100—15:16
15A. NewhookC000010.201006314:01
28C. DvorakC000-110.022205713:45
72A. XhekajD000010.02300—13:37
11B. GallagherR000-100.00012—13:02
17J. AndersonR000000.00100—12:51
47J. StrubleD000030.07104—12:48
51E. HeinemanL000000.02010—10:41
82L. CondottaL000010.022005009:03
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(L)27252.9261.60-0.4058:21

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).