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Ducks at Golden Knights
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jackson LaCombe's goal at 0:51 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 47% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 23, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Adin Hill stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Dostal (32 saves, .970), 2. Jack Eichel (1 G), 3. Frank Vatrano (3 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Dostal32 saves, .970
  2. ★★
    VGK
    J. Eichel1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    F. Vatrano3 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0411039423
VGKVGK011110012133

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(35)PPG
    C. Fowler (34), R. Strome (29)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:25
  2. VGK
    J. Eichel(31)PPG
    wristxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:47

3rd period

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.07win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:51
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:20
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.41Video
    4-1
    19:45

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·VGK 2 PIM

2nd

  • 3:14VGKMichael Amadio · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min
  • 12:52ANARyan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Dorofeyev2 min
  • 18:38ANAGustav Lindstrom · High stickingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

3rd

  • 17:56ANATroy Terry · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Hague2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalANA goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: Jackson LaCombe, 3rd 0:51 — ANA 47% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.22J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.19M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.18J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.17K. Kolesar · On goal · xG 0.16W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.16J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Whitecloud · On goal · xG 0.15Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.14I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.14J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.10T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.08P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.05P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.04B. Howden · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.03P. Dorofeyev · Missed · xG 0.03J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.03M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hague · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.02N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.00S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.00J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.00W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK1 G · 2.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsVGK
1.93 G
All situations
1 G2.8
1.42 G
Even strength
0 G1.7
0.11 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA27%73%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsVGK
23
Shots on goal
33
38%
Faceoffs
62%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
22
20
Blocked shots
15
5
Giveaways
8
14
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7R. GudasD000+310.03430—22:23
4C. FowlerD011000.01030—21:08
60J. LaCombeD112+210.07110—20:52
51O. ZellwegerD000000.00010—19:44
17A. KillornL000+230.1410010018:47
37W. LagessonD000020.03100—18:16
91L. CarlssonC011+110.120004617:00
28G. LindstromD000+100.00142—16:39
64S. ColangeloR000040.40110—16:11
77F. VatranoR303+240.48120—15:32
19T. TerryR000010.02012—15:31
61C. GauthierL011+130.19000—15:24
21I. LundestromC000010.160202514:40
11T. ZegrasC011+110.000001714:20
16R. StromeC022+110.232123313:29
20B. LeasonR000000.002008012:37
44R. JohnstonL000000.00400—12:03
33J. SilfverbergR000000.03010—11:15
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)33321.9702.84+1.8460:00

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).