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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 4-2. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mason McTavish's goal at 16:20 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were VGK 32, ANA 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mason McTavish (1 G), 2. John Gibson (30 saves, .938), 3. Adam Henrique (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. McTavish1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK110112010232
ANAANA0601146423

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(4)
    J. Eichel (8)
    tip-inxG 0.20win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:51

2nd period

  1. VGK
    J. Eichel(6)
    S. Theodore (9), B. McNabb (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:43

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Henrique(2)PPG
    C. Fowler (5), F. Vatrano (2)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:38
  2. ANA
    S. Carrick(2)
    P. Mintyukov (7)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:55
  3. ANA
    M. McTavish(6)
    F. Vatrano (3), I. Lyubushkin (1)
    wristxG 0.31win prob +40 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:20
  4. ANA
    S. Carrick(3)EN
    T. Terry (5), C. Fowler (6)
    wristxG 0.47win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-4
    18:51

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·ANA 10 PIM

1st

  • 13:34ANAAdam Henrique · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 13:34VGKWilliam Carrier · Trippingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min

2nd

  • 7:30ANASam Carrick · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 13:17ANAPavel Mintyukov · Holdingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 13:28VGKMark Stone · Trippingdrawn by Sam Carrick2 min
  • 19:46VGKBrayden Pachal · Interferencedrawn by Sam Carrick2 min

3rd

  • 6:59ANAserved by T. Zegras · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:07ANAIlya Lyubushkin · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Mason McTavish, 3rd 16:20 — ANA 52% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Carrick · Missed · xG 0.59S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.47M. McTavish · Goal · xG 0.31S. Carrick · Goal · xG 0.26T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.19R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.15T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.12T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.11M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.08M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.07M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.07T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.06A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.04R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.03I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.02T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 3.5 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
2.92 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK59%41%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
32
Shots on goal
23
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/4
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
16
16
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
8
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD011-210.10010—25:19
7A. PietrangeloD000-130.11030—21:57
9J. EichelC112040.380303020:38
3B. McNabbD011000.00100—19:31
20C. StephensonC000-210.110004019:12
71W. KarlssonC000+120.221105018:41
61M. StoneR000-200.20002—18:29
6K. KorczakD000+120.09120—17:07
81J. MarchessaultR000010.11100—16:45
17B. HuttonD000040.20020—16:14
16P. DorofeyevR000040.32000—15:25
94B. PachalD000020.23232—14:20
49I. BarbashevL101+120.25200—13:48
22M. AmadioR000010.16100—12:50
28W. CarrierL000-110.0620210012:47
55K. KolesarR000-100.04300—10:52
21B. HowdenC000-100.002108310:26
43P. CotterL000040.35200—10:18
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36L. Thompson(L)22193.8642.41-0.5959:29

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).