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San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the San Jose Sharks 9-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 9-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Henrique's goal at 4:01 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 66% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.8 to 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 21, EDM 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 14 of 22 (.636), 5.2 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 19 of 21 (.905). Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 1 A), 2. Warren Foegele (2 G), 3. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    W. Foegele2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    D. Holloway1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS0615110221
EDMEDM410516012938

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:53
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:01
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:40
  4. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    19:35

2nd period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    1:58
  2. EDM
    backhandxG 0.34win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-5
    4:41
  3. EDM
    pokexG 0.23win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-6
    10:11
  4. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.15Video
    1-7
    13:18
  5. EDM
    tip-inxG 0.13Video
    1-8
    13:49
  6. EDM
    C. McDavid (100), D. Nurse (22)
    snapxG 0.17Video
    1-9
    15:35

3rd period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.26Video
    2-9
    15:29

Penalties

SJS 0 PIM·EDM 2 PIM

1st

  • 15:01EDMZach Hyman · High stickingdrawn by Henry Thrun2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalSJS goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Henrique, 1st 4:01 — EDM 66% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.34D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.33C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.23A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.23Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.17W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.15C. Ceci · Goal · xG 0.15R. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.13E. Bouchard · Goal · xG 0.12M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.10S. Carrick · On goal · xG 0.10D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.10R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.08E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.05C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · Missed · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.03C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM9 G · 3.8 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsEDM
2.12 G
All situations
9 G3.8
1.92 G
Even strength
9 G3.8
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS23%77%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.07 – 3.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsEDM
21
Shots on goal
38
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
2
40
Hits
20
18
Blocked shots
8
14
Giveaways
22
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000-100.01540—24:35
4K. BurroughsD000-400.00830—23:14
3H. ThrunD000-110.00120—20:07
51C. GrafR000-230.20110—19:12
11L. KuninC000-100.111003518:46
64M. GranlundC011-200.040103818:18
10K. KostinC000010.02210018:01
20F. ZetterlundL101-220.35510—17:54
72W. EklundL011-330.56110—17:54
33C. AddisonD000-210.02310—17:34
44M. VlasicD000-430.07020—17:10
26J. ThompsonD000-210.00110—15:58
17T. BordeleauC011-100.000002514:33
75D. GushchinL101-110.02100—12:37
16J. StudnickaC000-310.171002911:47
7N. SturmC000-100.002007811:03
54G. SmithR000-320.31600—11:02
22R. CarpenterC000-220.21200010:15
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(L)22148.6362.82-5.1833:49
31G. Romanov16151.9381.000.0026:11

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).