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Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks

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Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 9:05 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.7 to 1.7; shots on goal were EDM 41, SJS 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 15 of 18 (.833), 1.3 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mackenzie Blackwood (39 saves, .951), 2. Tomas Hertl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    M. Blackwood39 saves, .951
  2. ★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    F. Zetterlund1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM014110117241
SJSSJS161814318

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    18:35

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:56
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.24win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:05

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:53
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.41win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-3
    17:34

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:13SJSNikita Okhotiuk · Slashingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min
  • 11:12SJSNico Sturm · Boardingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

3rd

  • 5:43EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Hookingdrawn by Fabian Zetterlund2 min
  • 7:15SJSWilliam Eklund · Hookingdrawn by Ryan McLeod2 min
  • 10:47EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Okhotiuk2 min
  • 17:48SJSMikael Granlund · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalEDM goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, 2nd 9:05 — SJS 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.24W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.16L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.15M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.14F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.13F. Zadina · Goal · xG 0.11F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.11A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.08N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.06F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.05R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.02L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02K. Burroughs · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · Missed · xG 0.01N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.00M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 1.7 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsSJS
3.72 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
1.50 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM81%19%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 1.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsSJS
41
Shots on goal
18
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
35
9
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD011+150.31210—26:38
97C. McDavidC000040.370105024:33
29L. DraisaitlC011-150.561005023:36
14M. EkholmD011050.24110—23:02
18Z. HymanL000040.59300—22:34
25D. NurseD101030.13020—22:13
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC101+110.411043618:48
5C. CeciD000-120.07330—17:18
91E. KaneL000-110.20200—17:15
71R. McLeodC000010.011003814:50
55D. HollowayL000020.3320010013:08
37W. FoegeleL011020.27310—13:07
27B. KulakD000-120.05010—12:40
89S. GagnerC000010.04100012:14
73V. DesharnaisD000-110.02010—11:42
57J. HamblinL000010.02100—09:23
62R. LavoieC000000.00010007:44
10D. RyanC000-110.01000007:08
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)18153.8331.67-1.3358:07

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).