New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 11:48 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 66% to 84%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.0, NJD 1.8; shots on goal were NYI 19, NJD 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Nelson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G).
Three stars
- ★K. Palmieri1 G, 1 A

- ★★B. Nelson1 G, 1 A

- ★★★J. Pageau1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-012:22
2-016:52
2nd period
2-13:25
3-111:48
3rd period
4-16:17
Penalties
1st
- 15:26
Chris Tierney · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
2nd
- 3:58
Brock Nelson · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min
- 15:57
Mike Reilly · Holdingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
3rd
- 2:52
Robert Bortuzzo · Trippingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 11:48 — 66% → 84%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.04 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.8
- 1.73 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.5
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 65 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.02 – 1.82
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 19
- Shots on goal
- 24
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 21
- Hits
- 11
- 21
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 2
- Giveaways
- 4
- 8
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
NJD leads 3-1
5@
4OTFinal
4@
5Final
4@
0Final
4@
1this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















