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Islanders at Devils
NHL

New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
4
New Jersey Devils
▸5
FinalTV MSGSN2, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Islanders 5-4. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Islanders led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Curtis Lazar's goal at 19:37 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.3 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYI 26, NJD 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.7 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dawson Mercer (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    D. Mercer1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI1831206426
NJDNJD18110315533

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(6)PPG
    N. Dobson (12), M. Barzal (12)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:16
  2. NJD
    M. McLeod(4)
    C. Lazar (3)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:29

2nd period

  1. NJD
    D. Mercer(5)
    J. Hughes (18), T. Toffoli (8)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:19
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(6)
    A. Lee (2), N. Dobson (13)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:24
  3. NYI
    C. Clutterbuck(3)
    C. Cizikas (4), J. Gauthier (1)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:40
  4. NYI
    J. Pageau(1)
    M. Barzal (13), A. Romanov (3)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    13:05

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes(7)
    D. Mercer (3), B. Smith (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    5:08
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(4)PPG
    J. Hughes (19), L. Hughes (11)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-4
    11:10
  3. NJD
    C. Lazar(4)
    K. Bahl (3), M. McLeod (4)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +46 ptsVideo
    4-5
    19:37

Penalties

NYI 13 PIM·NJD 13 PIM

1st

  • 4:47NJDDawson Mercer · Interferencedrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 5:35NYICasey Cizikas · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 15:19NJDDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 18:00NYIKyle Palmieri · Slashingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min

3rd

  • 9:43NJDJesper Bratt · Interferencedrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
  • 10:35NYIMathew Barzal · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Bahl2 min
  • 10:56NYISimon Holmstrom · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 13:48NJDBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 17:56NJDBrendan Smith · Fightingdrawn by Anders Lee5 min
  • 17:56NYIAnders Lee · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Smith5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNYI goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Curtis Lazar, 3rd 19:37 — NJD 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.32D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.18J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.17C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.17T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.16N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.15O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.15J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.14C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.13M. McLeod · Goal · xG 0.13J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.13N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.12J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.08N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.08O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.06J. Hughes · Goal · xG 0.06A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.06A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.03D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.03J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.00J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.00L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.00M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.00C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD5 G · 3.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsNJD
2.84 G
All situations
5 G3.3
2.13 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.61 G
Power play
1 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI41%59%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsNJD
26
Shots on goal
33
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/4
Power play
1/4
13
Penalty minutes
13
25
Hits
25
22
Blocked shots
5
4
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD022+120.14150—25:38
24S. MayfieldD000+100.00330—24:37
28A. RomanovD011-110.01120—23:43
6R. PulockD000-200.00410—22:38
14B. HorvatC101-140.451002318:55
29B. NelsonC000-120.270103818:43
13M. BarzalC123030.37102018:25
21K. PalmieriC000-110.23012018:05
44J. PageauC101+130.181104015:15
18P. EngvallL000-100.000105015:08
53C. CizikasC011000.003224615:08
15C. ClutterbuckR101010.1611010013:39
27A. LeeL011+130.35305—13:24
10S. HolmstromR000-110.04012—11:30
16J. GauthierR011020.27310—10:48
2M. ReillyD000-230.27110—10:42
26O. WahlstromR000000.0001010010:09
7G. HuttonD000+100.01200—07:21
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(L)33285.8483.27-1.7359:37

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).