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Hurricanes at Blackhawks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
2
FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSO·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-2. The Blackhawks scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jarvis's goal at 16:27 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were CAR 34, CHI 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 14 of 16 (.875); Petr Mrazek stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Seth Jarvis (2 G), 2. Andrei Svechnikov (2 A), 3. Frank Nazar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Jarvis2 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    F. Nazar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR0911639434
CHICHI120915216

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    F. Nazar(1)
    S. Jones (23)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:05

2nd period

  1. CAR
    J. Staal(10)
    J. Martinook (18), A. Svechnikov (32)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:10

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. Athanasiou(2)
    L. Reichel (11), R. Donato (17)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:54
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(32)PPG
    Unassisted
    xG 0.17win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:24
  3. CAR
    S. Jarvis(33)PPG
    B. Burns (31), A. Svechnikov (33)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +39 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:27
  4. CAR
    S. Aho(36)EN
    J. Guentzel (47)
    wristxG 0.90win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:54

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:19CARJake Guentzel · Holdingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

2nd

  • 6:09CARJalen Chatfield · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

3rd

  • 2:18CARPyotr Kochetkov · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 4:58CHIAlex Vlasic · Interferencedrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 14:51CHISeth Jones · Cross checkingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
  • 17:54CHIserved by R. Donato · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCAR goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Seth Jarvis, 3rd 16:27 — CAR 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.37L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.18N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.12A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.11F. Nazar · Goal · xG 0.11L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.11R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.08A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.08N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.08C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 1.6 xG · 23 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCHI
3.93 G
All situations
2 G1.6
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.32 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR75%25%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.97 – 1.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCHI
34
Shots on goal
16
43%
Faceoffs
57%
2/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
17
7
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000+110.01000—20:54
8B. BurnsD011+130.08100—20:35
22B. PesceD000020.08010—20:33
7D. OrlovD000000.03220—20:22
20S. AhoC101031.290103019:06
5J. ChatfieldD000-100.06002—18:23
24S. JarvisR202010.251004317:20
48J. MartinookL011+110.12000—16:46
77T. DeAngeloD000-100.00020—16:24
59J. GuentzelC011020.51002016:06
18J. DruryC000-130.200107015:48
88M. NecasC000-160.31100015:46
37A. SvechnikovR022+120.16100—15:20
11J. StaalC101+150.581004014:53
82J. KotkaniemiC000-130.0900010012:04
92E. KuznetsovC000000.041001711:27
71J. FastR000010.05100—11:10
23S. NoesenR000010.02000—11:07
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
52P. Kochetkov(W)16142.8751.63-0.3759:56

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).