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Blackhawks at Hurricanes
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
3
Carolina Hurricanes
▸6
FinalTV NBCSCH, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 6-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Martin Necas's goal at 1:59 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 17, CAR 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 36 of 41 (.878), 1.4 goals below expected; Spencer Martin stopped 14 of 17 (.824), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sebastian Aho (1 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Necas (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    M. Necas1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI051428317
CARCAR114317211642

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    M. Bunting(13)
    M. Necas (23), J. Drury (17)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:45

2nd period

  1. CAR
    M. Necas(17)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    1:59
  2. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(10)
    D. Orlov (15), T. Teravainen (19)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    8:22
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(20)
    A. Svechnikov (20), J. Fast (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-4
    10:52
  4. CHI
    N. Foligno(13)
    C. Bedard (21)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    15:23

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns(9)PPG
    S. Aho (39), S. Jarvis (27)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +1 ptsVideo
    1-5
    2:34
  2. CHI
    C. Bedard(17)PPG
    P. Kurashev (23), T. Johnson (6)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    7:00
  3. CHI
    T. Johnson(11)PPG
    C. Bedard (22), N. Foligno (12)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +3 ptsVideo
    3-5
    9:08
  4. CAR
    J. Martinook(10)EN
    S. Jarvis (28), J. Staal (14)
    snapxG 0.48Video
    3-6
    18:11

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 3:26CARBrett Pesce · Trippingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 3:45CARSeth Jarvis · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:07CHITyler Johnson · Slashingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

2nd

  • 2:35CHIBoris Katchouk · Hookingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

3rd

  • 1:00CHIAlex Vlasic · Holdingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 6:20CARJack Drury · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 8:03CARJesperi Kotkaniemi · Trippingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi2 min
  • 9:24CHIKevin Korchinski · Cross checkingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCHI goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Martin Necas, 2nd 1:59 — CAR 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.48J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.21M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.17B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.14M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.14A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.13S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.13J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.13S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12M. Necas · Goal · xG 0.12S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.09A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.09S. Aho · Goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Goal · xG 0.09S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.08S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.07J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.07J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.06D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.05J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.04T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR6 G · 4.1 xG · 63 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCAR
1.83 G
All situations
5 G4.1
0.61 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
1.02 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI21%79%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 3.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCAR
17
Shots on goal
42
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
24
Hits
12
16
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
16
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-210.10120—26:28
72A. VlasicD000-100.00012—21:06
23P. KurashevC011-100.040005020:30
98C. BedardC123-110.2910010020:18
17N. FolignoL112-110.143002218:37
24J. MegnaD000-100.00520—18:34
16J. DickinsonC000-210.210204818:33
55K. KorchinskiD000-110.02002—18:21
91A. BeauvillierR000-100.01100—16:13
46L. CrevierD000-120.02140—16:06
25J. TinordiD000-110.03010—15:12
15J. AndersonR000-110.19320—14:26
90T. JohnsonC112-230.320025013:43
11T. RaddyshR000-110.04310—13:32
14B. KatchoukL000-100.00202—11:55
43C. BlackwellC000-130.15100011:05
8R. DonatoC000-110.231005010:35
58M. EntwistleR000-100.002104007:50
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)41365.8783.59-1.4159:22

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).