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Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Seattle Kraken 4-1. The Kraken scored first; the Blues answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 0:59 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.8 to 1.9; shots on goal were SEA 20, STL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Joey Daccord stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.1 goals below expected; Joel Hofer stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (1 G), 2. Joel Hofer (19 saves, .950), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer19 saves, .950
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA180507120
STLSTL16011311428

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:24
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:18

3rd period

  1. STL
    M. Kessel (6), B. Saad (16)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    0:59
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:37
  3. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.47Video
    1-4
    19:00

Penalties

SEA 2 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:43STLZach Dean · High sticking double minordrawn by Adam Larsson4 min

3rd

  • 7:25STLBrayden Schenn · Hookingdrawn by Matty Beniers2 min
  • 13:49SEAJaden Schwartz · Hookingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalSEA goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 3rd 0:59 — STL 53% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Walker · Goal · xG 0.47B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.43J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.25Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.15B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Dean · On goal · xG 0.08B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.08A. Toropchenko · Missed · xG 0.07N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.05B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.04K. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04S. Perunovich · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Dean · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.01S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.00N. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00
STL4 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsSTL
1.91 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.61 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA49%51%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 1.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsSTL
20
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
18
6
Giveaways
13
15
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
39R. EvansD000020.05320—22:18
6A. LarssonD000+110.20120—21:52
95A. BurakovskyL000-220.14000—19:10
10M. BeniersC000-210.030204618:44
7J. EberleR000-100.09010—18:38
24J. OleksiakD000-110.03040—17:46
8B. DumoulinD000-200.03030—17:43
19J. McCannL101-120.370005017:27
4J. SchultzD000-220.03000—16:55
17J. SchwartzL000-120.410225016:33
22O. BjorkstrandR000-210.02000—16:21
37Y. GourdeC000-110.100005016:18
3W. BorgenD000-100.03100—16:03
56K. YamamotoR000020.101004315:34
20E. TolvanenR000-100.04000—14:53
52T. KartyeL000010.00300—12:34
13B. TanevL000000.09200—12:07
41P. BellemareL000020.130003308:21
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Daccord(L)27243.8891.95-1.0558:43

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).