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Blues at Kraken
NHL

St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
St. Louis Blues
▸4
Seattle Kraken
3
Final/OTTV ROOT-NW, BSMW·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3 in overtime, Pavel Buchnevich scoring at 3:31. The Blues came back from two goals down. The Kraken led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Buchnevich's goal at 3:31 of overtime, which took the Blues' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.9 to 1.9; shots on goal were STL 18, SEA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 33 of 36 (.917); Joey Daccord stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Oliver Bjorkstrand (1 G, 1 A), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (2 G, 1 A), 3. Brian Dumoulin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    O. Bjorkstrand1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    B. Dumoulin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
STLSTL15161512418
SEASEA11121001401336

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    O. Sundqvist(6)PPG
    B. Schenn (13), T. Krug (19)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:39
  2. SEA
    B. Dumoulin(4)
    A. Larsson (12), J. Schwartz (11)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:16

2nd period

  1. SEA
    O. Bjorkstrand(13)PPG
    A. Wennberg (12), J. McCann (14)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:55
  2. SEA
    E. Tolvanen(13)
    Y. Gourde (13), O. Bjorkstrand (25)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:42
  3. STL
    R. Thomas(17)PPG
    S. Perunovich (10), P. Buchnevich (21)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    15:01

3rd period

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(15)
    R. Thomas (34)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +24 ptsVideo
    3-3
    1:27

Overtime

  1. STL
    P. Buchnevich(16)
    B. Schenn (14)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:31

Penalties

STL 4 PIM·SEA 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:26SEAAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

2nd

  • 2:36STLMarco Scandella · Illegal check to headdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 9:10STLTorey Krug · Cross checkingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 13:17SEAWill Borgen · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalSTL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Buchnevich, OT 3:31 — STL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.18B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.17A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.14E. Tolvanen · Goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.13O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.11T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.09V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.08O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.07O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.07B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.07M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.06J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.06V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.05J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.05J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.05T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.04V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02W. Borgen · Missed · xG 0.02J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.02W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA3 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsSEA
1.94 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.42 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL33%67%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.88 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsSEA
18
Shots on goal
36
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/2
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
14
19
Blocked shots
7
1
Giveaways
1
9
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55C. ParaykoD000020.20350—25:13
4N. LeddyD000010.01020—23:50
51M. KesselD000000.04130—23:42
47T. KrugD011030.08112—23:14
18R. ThomasC112+120.240005720:42
25J. KyrouR000+130.24000—19:47
89P. BuchnevichL213+220.38110—18:35
20B. SaadL000-200.00000—16:30
10B. SchennC022-100.061101316:08
12K. HayesR000000.091108515:57
26N. WalkerL000010.01120—14:49
13A. ToropchenkoR000010.04100—14:38
63J. NeighboursL000-200.24100—14:16
48S. PerunovichD011000.02020—14:12
70O. SundqvistC101010.160005013:48
79S. BlaisL000010.07300—11:20
6M. ScandellaD000-110.01102—10:35
59N. AlexandrovC000000.00010010:28
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)36333.9172.88-0.1263:01

Season series

STL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).