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Canadiens at Islanders
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
2
New York Islanders
▸3
Final/OTTV MSGSN, TSN2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Montréal Canadiens 3-2 in overtime, Kyle Palmieri scoring at 1:17. The Canadiens scored first; the Islanders answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Palmieri's goal at 1:17 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.0 to 1.2; shots on goal were MTL 14, NYI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Semyon Varlamov stopped 12 of 14 (.857), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kyle Palmieri (1 G), 2. Adam Pelech (2 A), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    K. Palmieri1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    A. Pelech2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MTLMTL15051400214
NYINYI081141811331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Harris(3)
    C. Caufield (37), N. Suzuki (43)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:58

2nd period

  1. NYI
    P. Engvall(10)
    A. Pelech (14), M. Reilly (16)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:17

3rd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(25)
    J. Kovacevic (6), M. Matheson (50)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-1
    3:42
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(9)
    A. Pelech (15), R. Pulock (13)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    6:30

Overtime

  1. NYI
    K. Palmieri(28)
    B. Nelson (33)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:17

Penalties

MTL 13 PIM·NYI 5 PIM

1st

  • 6:12MTLMichael Pezzetta · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

2nd

  • 10:15NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · Fightingdrawn by Brendan Gallagher5 min
  • 10:15MTLBrendan Gallagher · Fightingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau5 min
  • 12:26MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Pulock2 min
  • 19:49MTLMichael Pezzetta · Boardingdrawn by Adam Pelech2 min

3rd

  • 12:44MTLJohnathan Kovacevic · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalMTL goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Palmieri, OT 1:17 — NYI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.30A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.18P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.15C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.13B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.13M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.13A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.11C. Cizikas · Missed · xG 0.09P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.06P. Engvall · Goal · xG 0.06P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.06P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.05C. Cizikas · Goal · xG 0.04B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.03A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.02A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.02K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.02P. Engvall · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01M. Reilly · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.00B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.00A. Romanov · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNYI
1.22 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL19%81%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.20 – 2.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNYI
14
Shots on goal
31
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/0
Power play
0/4
13
Penalty minutes
5
23
Hits
25
21
Blocked shots
10
6
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011+110.02130—25:46
58D. SavardD000000.02220—23:11
26J. KovacevicD011+100.00412—20:03
54J. HarrisD101010.04040—19:53
71J. EvansC000000.062006019:34
14N. SuzukiC011010.231004019:13
40J. ArmiaR000040.25000—18:01
47J. StrubleD000-200.00210—17:37
20J. SlafkovskýL000-100.00232—17:33
22C. CaufieldR112+140.22110—16:35
52J. BarronD000-110.06010—15:01
15A. NewhookC000-100.000403314:35
17J. AndersonR000010.08400—14:01
28C. DvorakC000000.000005012:50
70T. PearsonL000010.05000—12:20
11B. GallagherR000-100.17005—12:05
55M. PezzettaL000000.01304—08:53
49R. Harvey-PinardL000000.00110—08:40
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35S. Montembeault(O)31283.9032.98-0.0261:17

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).