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Islanders at Canadiens
NHL

New York Islanders at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
FinalTV MSGSN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the New York Islanders 4-3. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Monahan's goal at 17:48 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 5.5 to 3.2; shots on goal were NYI 46, MTL 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 0.8 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 43 of 46 (.935), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Monahan (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Suzuki (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Monahan2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI012118216346
MTLMTL3130716426

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(13)PPG
    J. Slafkovský (13), S. Monahan (21)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:06
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(17)
    N. Suzuki (28)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:36
  3. MTL
    S. Monahan(12)PPG
    M. Matheson (26), S. Montembeault (2)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:19

2nd period

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(20)PPG
    M. Barzal (37), N. Dobson (43)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:02

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(13)PPG
    N. Dobson (44), K. Palmieri (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:52
  2. NYI
    K. Palmieri(12)PPG
    N. Dobson (45), B. Horvat (25)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +40 ptsVideo
    3-3
    16:28
  3. MTL
    S. Monahan(13)
    J. Anderson (6), C. Caufield (21)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:48

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·MTL 15 PIM

1st

  • 6:18NYIHudson Fasching · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 9:52MTLRafael Harvey-Pinard · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 10:19NYIKyle Palmieri · Slashingdrawn by David Savard2 min
  • 14:44MTLArber Xhekaj · High stickingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 18:49NYIJulien Gauthier · Trippingdrawn by Lucas Condotta2 min

2nd

  • 2:04MTLJayden Struble · Slashingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 2:46MTLJake Evans · Holding the stickdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 10:01NYIKyle MacLean · Trippingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 13:40MTLArber Xhekaj · Interferencedrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

3rd

  • 6:12NYIAnders Lee · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 11:52MTLBrendan Gallagher · Match penaltydrawn by Adam Pelech5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNYI goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Monahan, 3rd 17:48 — MTL 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.37B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.34S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.33C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.25R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.24J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.20S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.18S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.17N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.13S. Monahan · Goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.10B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.07S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.05T. Pearson · Missed · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.03J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL4 G · 3.2 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsMTL
5.53 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.90 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
3.63 G
Power play
2 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI77%23%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 5.17 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsMTL
46
Shots on goal
26
52%
Faceoffs
48%
3/8
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
25
15
Hits
23
10
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD033030.08220—30:17
13M. BarzalC112090.7600010026:31
14B. HorvatC112050.540105026:05
29B. NelsonC000-130.540108021:19
21K. PalmieriC112-1112.08202019:16
44J. PageauC000-110.131004218:41
28A. RomanovD000-140.04110—18:12
3A. PelechD000000.01010—17:27
25S. AhoD000-110.01000—16:55
27A. LeeL000030.42102—16:15
10S. HolmstromR000030.2100010015:26
18P. EngvallL000-220.1600010015:05
24S. MayfieldD000-100.00130—14:09
4S. BolducD000-110.04000—11:49
15C. ClutterbuckR000000.00400—08:30
16J. GauthierR000000.45212—07:59
32K. MacLeanC000000.000025006:03
20H. FaschingR000000.00102—02:52
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40S. Varlamov(L)26224.8463.25-0.7558:21

Season series

MTL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).