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Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV NBCSCA+, SNW·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Andrei Kuzmenko scoring at 2:58. The Flames came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Kuzmenko's goal at 2:58 of overtime, which took the Flames' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were CGY 41, SJS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 1.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Kuzmenko (1 G, 1 A), 2. William Eklund (1 G), 3. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    A. Kuzmenko1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    W. Eklund1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
CGYCGY0821501315341
SJSSJS19190301222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:22

2nd period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:22
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:35
  3. CGY
    N. Kadri(26)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:51

Overtime

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.30win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:58

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:02CGYMartin Pospisil · Boardingdrawn by Calen Addison2 min

2nd

  • 8:17SJSKyle Burroughs · Illegal check to headdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 13:25SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Trippingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 16:46CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Slashingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

3rd

  • 11:15CGYDaniil Miromanov · Trippingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 18:44CGYBlake Coleman · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min

OT

  • 2:19SJSMario Ferraro · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCGY goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Andrei Kuzmenko, OT 2:58 — CGY 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.15W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.14K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.11W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.10J. MacDonald · Goal · xG 0.09T. Bordeleau · Missed · xG 0.08H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.08F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.08H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.07J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.07J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.06N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.04T. Bordeleau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.03J. Studnicka · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.01W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · Missed · xG 0.01N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01J. Studnicka · Missed · xG 0.01T. Bordeleau · On goal · xG 0.01N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.00H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 1.6 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsSJS
4.03 G
All situations
2 G1.6
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.1
1.42 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY83%17%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.71 – 1.61

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsSJS
41
Shots on goal
22
48%
Faceoffs
52%
2/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
21
9
Blocked shots
26
10
Giveaways
4
9
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD101-130.28010—26:41
52M. WeegarD000040.25322—26:23
62D. MiromanovD000000.05012—19:02
11M. BacklundC000020.031005819:00
10J. HuberdeauL011040.67100—18:40
98I. SolovyovD000-130.04210—18:19
91N. KadriC112-170.960003518:17
17Y. SharangovichC011-120.14100017:56
28N. OkhotiukD011010.01310—16:45
20B. ColemanL000-130.15002—16:28
94B. PachalD000020.20110—15:30
88A. MangiapaneL000000.09200—15:26
47C. ZaryC000020.071106015:17
96A. KuzmenkoL112-140.71100—14:17
21K. RooneyC000010.010104313:52
76M. PospisilC000-110.0740210012:55
18A. GreerL000+110.05000—10:38
27M. CoronatoR011+110.20000—08:55
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(W)22202.9091.61-0.3962:29

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).