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San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

FinalTV NBCSCA, SN1·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Calgary Flames 6-3. The Flames scored first; the Sharks answered. The Sharks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Justin Bailey's goal at 7:50 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were SJS 31, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 4.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Filip Zadina (2 G, 2 A), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (31 saves, .912), 3. Luke Kunin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    F. Zadina2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Blackwood31 saves, .912
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    L. Kunin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS08310313631
CGYCGY11319112334

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:19

2nd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:52
  2. SJS
    snapxG 0.33win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:50
  3. SJS
    L. Kunin(7)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:30
  4. CGY
    C. Tanev (10), N. Hanifin (21)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    19:40

3rd period

  1. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:38
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.06win prob +6 ptsVideo
    5-2
    5:15
  3. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10Video
    6-2
    15:30
  4. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.14Video
    6-3
    16:40

Penalties

SJS 12 PIM·CGY 10 PIM

1st

  • 8:38SJSMike Hoffman · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 16:57SJSTy Emberson · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 1:23SJSAlexander Barabanov · Hookingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 10:20SJSJan Rutta · High stickingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 10:36CGYBlake Coleman · Hookingdrawn by Ty Emberson2 min
  • 15:34CGYBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 19:40SJSserved by F. Zadina · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 2:10CGYWalker Duehr · Trippingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 10:34CGYMartin Pospisil · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 10:34SJSLuke Kunin · Roughingdrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 20:00CGYBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalSJS goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Justin Bailey, 2nd 7:50 — SJS 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.32C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.25J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.20C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.19Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kuzmenko · Goal · xG 0.14N. Kadri · Goal · xG 0.12C. Schwindt · Missed · xG 0.12W. Duehr · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.10A. Kuzmenko · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.09A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.09C. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.07M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.07A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.06B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.06K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.06C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.05C. Zary · On goal · xG 0.05W. Duehr · Missed · xG 0.05M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.05B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kuzmenko · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mangiapane · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03K. Rooney · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kylington · Missed · xG 0.03M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pachal · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pospisil · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.00A. Mangiapane · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.9 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsCGY
2.06 G
All situations
3 G3.9
1.75 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS22%78%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.99 – 3.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsCGY
31
Shots on goal
34
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
21
18
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000+330.02110—23:12
64M. GranlundC101+230.220005921:00
6T. EmbersonD000010.06042—20:11
84J. RuttaD000+100.03112—19:38
72W. EklundL011020.020003619:21
20F. ZetterlundL000+110.03100—19:05
44M. VlasicD011+120.04030—18:32
33C. AddisonD000030.20010—18:26
11L. KuninC202040.631125017:27
4K. BurroughsD011-110.00320—16:05
94A. BarabanovL000030.02102—14:32
10A. DuclairL000-120.09010—13:54
22R. CarpenterC000-110.030105013:06
18F. ZadinaR224+330.19010—12:05
7N. SturmC011+100.002003810:51
9J. MacDonaldD000000.06210—10:31
68M. HoffmanC000010.02002010:07
90J. BaileyR123+110.34210—09:57
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Blackwood(W)34313.9123.85+0.8560:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).