Skip to content
Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV ESPN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cale Makar's goal at 6:15 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were MIN 22, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 2.4 goals below expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (3 G, 1 A), 2. Cale Makar (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jonathan Drouin (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    J. Drouin3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN2120505222
COLCOL2143909532

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(16)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (86), C. Makar (66)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:34
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(49)
    J. Drouin (35), C. Makar (67)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:38
  3. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(42)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (50), M. Boldy (36)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:14
  4. MIN
    M. Boldy(27)PPG
    M. Zuccarello (51), D. Chisholm (6)
    tip-inxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:40

2nd period

  1. COL
    C. Makar(20)
    D. Toews (36), J. Drouin (36)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:15
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(50)
    J. Drouin (37), D. Toews (37)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:50
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(51)
    A. Lehkonen (16)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-5
    19:08

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:42MINKirill Kaprizov · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 4:04MINMason Shaw · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 9:13COLCasey Mittelstadt · Hookingdrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min
  • 17:52COLChris Wagner · Holdingdrawn by Jon Merrill2 min

2nd

  • 2:45MINMatt Boldy · Holdingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 7:37COLNathan MacKinnon · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

3rd

  • 0:39COLZach Parise · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 5:10MINMarat Khusnutdinov · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Drouin2 min
  • 19:46COLSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Cale Makar, 2nd 6:15 — COL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.22A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.21A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.18Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01
COL5 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
2.22 G
All situations
5 G2.7
0.50 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
1.62 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN40%60%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.10 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
22
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
8
Hits
14
11
Blocked shots
15
2
Giveaways
0
8
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD000-230.08010—26:27
97K. KaprizovL101-440.63002—25:45
12M. BoldyL112-130.4802210023:18
14J. Eriksson EkC000050.431205922:28
36M. ZuccarelloR022-220.2920010021:30
25J. BrodinD000-120.02000—20:41
24Z. BogosianD000-200.01110—20:19
23M. RossiC000-300.001102917:03
5J. MiddletonD000-300.00130—16:41
90M. JohanssonL000000.00010—15:49
38R. HartmanR000-110.062005815:22
47D. ChisholmD011000.00000—14:19
89F. GaudreauC000-100.170005013:16
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.00002009:44
10V. LettieriC000000.050006708:36
4J. MerrillD000000.00000—08:29
15M. ShawC000010.0100210008:13
33A. GoligoskiD000010.01000—06:25
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(L)32275.8442.65-2.3559:05

Season series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).