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Wild at Avalanche
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸2
Final/OTTV NHLN, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1 in overtime, Valeri Nichushkin scoring at 2:32. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Valeri Nichushkin's goal at 2:32 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 3.1; shots on goal were MIN 30, COL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Alexandar Georgiev stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G), 2. Alexandar Georgiev (29 saves, .967), 3. Artturi Lehkonen (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    A. Georgiev29 saves, .967
  3. ★★★
    COL
    A. Lehkonen1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN0111120700130
COLCOL1120701714240

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(11)
    N. MacKinnon (70)
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:42

2nd period

  1. MIN
    B. Faber(6)
    K. Kaprizov (38), J. Eriksson Ek (29)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:44

Overtime

  1. COL
    V. Nichushkin(23)PPG
    M. Rantanen (53), N. MacKinnon (71)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    2:32

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:31MINJon Merrill · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 6:30COLJosh Manson · Hookingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 8:55MINFrederick Gaudreau · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 11:17COLMikko Rantanen · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 12:01COLArtturi Lehkonen · Holdingdrawn by Adam Beckman2 min
  • 17:07COLMikko Rantanen · Holdingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min

3rd

  • 6:32MINJake Lucchini · Interferencedrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 14:05COLAndrew Cogliano · Ps throwing object at puck0 min

OT

  • 0:42MINKirill Kaprizov · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalMIN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Valeri Nichushkin, OT 2:32 — COL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.30V. Nichushkin · Goal · xG 0.21A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.19N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.19C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.14M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.14M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.12B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.12M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.11C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.11M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.10D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Trenin · On goal · xG 0.06V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.06C. Mittelstadt · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.05J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.00D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 3.7 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCOL
3.11 G
All situations
2 G3.7
2.11 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
1.00 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN39%61%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 3.66

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCOL
30
Shots on goal
40
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
18
Hits
27
24
Blocked shots
13
1
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD101010.11120—26:59
25J. BrodinD000-110.02030—25:21
14J. Eriksson EkC011020.211005023:53
97K. KaprizovL011030.43002—21:23
24Z. BogosianD000010.07260—20:59
47D. ChisholmD000+120.26000—20:08
36M. ZuccarelloR000000.14020—19:45
12M. BoldyL000030.31000—19:44
38R. HartmanR000040.133305319:09
23M. RossiC000040.831205018:31
89F. GaudreauC000030.100223315:53
6D. MermisD000000.06310—13:31
17M. FolignoL000000.00200—12:54
4J. MerrillD000020.02112—10:01
27J. LucchiniC000010.130026709:19
11A. BeckmanL000000.01110—09:05
10V. LettieriC000000.0011010008:49
15M. ShawC000030.25200006:12
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(O)40382.9503.74+1.7462:32

Season series

COL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).