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Maple Leafs at Devils
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸5
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV MSGSN2, TSN4·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Maple Leafs led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Giordano's goal at 15:09 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were TOR 39, NJD 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 18 of 20 (.900); Jake Allen stopped 34 of 38 (.895). Three stars: 1. Auston Matthews (1 G, 1 A), 2. Tyler Bertuzzi (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Allen (34 saves, .895).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    A. Matthews1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    T. Bertuzzi2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Allen34 saves, .895

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR17216216539
NJDNJD141808220

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    N. Robertson(13)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:56
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(27)
    D. Mercer (13), B. Smith (10)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:25

2nd period

  1. NJD
    D. Mercer(20)PPG
    N. Hischier (38)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:17
  2. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(20)
    M. Domi (35), J. McCabe (19)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    15:00
  3. TOR
    M. Giordano(3)
    A. Matthews (38), T. Bertuzzi (21)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    15:09

3rd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(66)
    M. Domi (36)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:33
  2. TOR
    T. Bertuzzi(21)EN
    J. McCabe (20), M. Marner (54)
    wristxG 0.54Video
    5-2
    18:47

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·NJD 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:10NJDSimon Nemec · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Knies2 min
  • 19:11NJDTimo Meier · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Knies2 min

2nd

  • 5:05TORMatthew Knies · Slashingdrawn by Dawson Mercer2 min
  • 16:55NJDChris Tierney · Holdingdrawn by Noah Gregor2 min

3rd

  • 15:31TORTyler Bertuzzi · High stickingdrawn by Brendan Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalTOR goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Mark Giordano, 2nd 15:09 — TOR 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.26D. Mercer · Goal · xG 0.23B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.20N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.17D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bowers · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.07J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05L. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.03J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02N. Foote · Missed · xG 0.02O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bowers · On goal · xG 0.02D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.02T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.01O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.01C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 1.7 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsNJD
4.24 G
All situations
2 G1.7
2.74 G
Even strength
1 G0.9
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR82%18%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.55 – 1.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsNJD
39
Shots on goal
20
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
6
11
Blocked shots
19
4
Giveaways
8
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
16M. MarnerR011+100.12120—21:40
44M. RiellyD000+230.08000—21:13
78T. BrodieD000+310.02010—20:06
22J. McCabeD022+220.17110—19:35
88W. NylanderR000+120.030005019:33
34A. MatthewsC112+250.500005019:12
2S. BenoitD000-110.09410—18:17
91J. TavaresC000061.071007917:54
25C. TimminsD000010.03110—17:37
55M. GiordanoD101+220.09020—17:36
59T. BertuzziL213+330.78002—16:17
64D. KampfC000+100.000102015:55
23M. KniesL000030.35102—13:13
11M. DomiC022+220.060003313:02
29P. HolmbergR000+120.310203312:45
18N. GregorL000020.16200—11:50
74B. McMannC000020.17100011:36
89N. RobertsonL101+120.17000—11:07
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(W)20182.9001.67-0.3359:20

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).