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Devils at Maple Leafs
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸6
Toronto Maple Leafs
5
FinalTV MSGSN2, SNO·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 6-5. The lead changed hands 4 times. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jesper Bratt's goal at 18:46 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 4.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were NJD 20, TOR 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 84% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.0 goals below expected; Ilya Samsonov stopped 14 of 20 (.700), 4.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Bratt (2 G, 1 A), 2. Auston Matthews (2 G), 3. Timo Meier (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Bratt2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    A. Matthews2 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Meier2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD371627620
TORTOR212210110532

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    J. Tavares(25)
    M. Marner (55)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:18
  2. NJD
    E. Haula(16)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:39
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(67)
    M. Domi (37), T. Brodie (25)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:08
  4. NJD
    N. Foote(1)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-2
    7:57
  5. NJD
    T. Meier(26)PPG
    J. Bratt (55), L. Hughes (37)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-2
    12:37

2nd period

  1. TOR
    A. Matthews(68)
    M. Domi (38), T. Bertuzzi (22)
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    7:59
  2. TOR
    D. Kampf(8)
    C. Dewar (6)
    wristxG 0.26win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-4
    9:16
  3. NJD
    T. Meier(27)PPG
    N. Hischier (39)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-4
    19:48

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt(26)PPG
    L. Hughes (38), T. Meier (24)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +29 ptsVideo
    5-4
    11:03
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(26)
    M. Rielly (48), M. Marner (56)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +40 ptsVideo
    5-5
    15:13
  3. NJD
    J. Bratt(27)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +48 ptsVideo
    6-5
    18:46

Penalties

NJD 11 PIM·TOR 23 PIM

1st

  • 11:50TORMax Domi · Slashingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 13:09NJDSimon Nemec · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

2nd

  • 1:51NJDGraeme Clarke · Hookingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 11:53TORMax Domi · Instigatordrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 11:53TORMax Domi · Fightingdrawn by Simon Nemec5 min
  • 11:53NJDSimon Nemec · Fightingdrawn by Max Domi5 min
  • 11:53TORMax Domi · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 18:56TORTJ Brodie · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

3rd

  • 10:13TORAuston Matthews · Trippingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 19:17NJDOndrej Palat · Trippingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNJD goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Jesper Bratt, 3rd 18:46 — NJD 48% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.30D. Kampf · Goal · xG 0.26A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.25W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.24J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.23A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.21M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.18M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.14W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.14M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.12B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.12W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.11A. Matthews · Goal · xG 0.10J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.09M. Knies · Missed · xG 0.09J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.09M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.09A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.09T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.06P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.06J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.06W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.03M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.03N. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.03W. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.02M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.02B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.02N. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.01M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.01D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.00M. Knies · On goal · xG 0.00S. Benoit · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR5 G · 4.0 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTOR
1.76 G
All situations
5 G4.0
1.23 G
Even strength
5 G3.2
0.43 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD16%84%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTOR
20
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
3/4
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
23
36
Hits
34
18
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2B. SmithD000-100.00550—23:48
6J. MarinoD000000.00130—23:25
13N. HischierC011-200.000204822:58
63J. BrattL213-230.27300—21:31
91D. MercerC000020.16200021:11
28T. MeierR213040.424103320:46
43L. HughesD022-210.04000—19:04
88K. BahlD000000.00200—19:03
56E. HaulaL101020.202106218:43
71J. SiegenthalerD000010.00130—18:03
95G. ClarkeR000-310.09202—15:49
17S. NemecD000-100.06107—12:51
18O. PalatL000+100.00202—12:48
15S. BowersC000000.000205011:50
11C. TierneyC000010.070102911:49
25N. FooteL101030.32200—08:05
10A. HoltzR000020.042005007:38
23K. MacDermidL000000.06700—05:55
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)32275.8444.02-0.9860:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).