Capitals at Red Wings 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Washington Capitals

▸2

Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV ESPN·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 17:47 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were WSH 23, DET 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 21 of 23 (.913). Three stars: 1. Charlie Lindgren (42 saves, .977), 2. Dylan Strome (1 G), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

★
C. Lindgren42 saves, .977
★★
D. Strome1 G
★★★
A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WSH	08	28	07	223
DET	017	010	116	143

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

D. Strome(27)
M. Fehérváry (13)
snapxG 0.12win prob +23 ptsVideo
1-0
17:47
A. Ovechkin(30)
T. Oshie (12)
snapxG 0.05win prob +18 ptsVideo
2-0
19:52

3rd period

P. Kane(20)
D. Perron (27), L. Raymond (38)
wristxG 0.16Video
2-1
19:58

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

9:12Patrick Kane · Hookingdrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min

3rd

6:33served by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
15:48T.J. Oshie · Hookingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: DET

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 2nd 17:47 — WSH 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 3.3 xG · 56 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 1.8 xG · 35 att DET

1 G · 3.3 xG · 56 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.92 G
All situations: 1 G3.3; 1.82 G
Even strength: 1 G2.5; 0.10 G
Power play: 0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

25%75%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.85 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

23
Shots on goal: 43; 48%
Faceoffs: 52%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 23
Hits: 22; 26
Blocked shots: 18; 5
Giveaways: 8; 4
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Washington Capitals skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
74J. CarlsonD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	1	4	0	—	29:41
3N. JensenD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	3	0	—	25:29
42M. FehérváryD	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	3	0	—	21:24
47B. MalenstynL	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	2	2	0	—	16:53
57T. van RiemsdykD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	16:51
43T. WilsonR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	0	—	16:41
26N. DowdC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	2	0	48	16:39
17D. StromeC	1	0	1	+1	2	0.20	0	1	0	55	16:19
77T. OshieR	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	2	50	15:12
8A. OvechkinL	1	0	1	+1	2	0.12	3	1	0	—	15:11
27A. AlexeyevD	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	—	15:08
24C. McMichaelL	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	38	14:15
21A. ProtasL	0	0	0	+1	3	0.25	1	1	0	—	13:47
96N. Aube-KubelR	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	3	0	0	—	13:40
29H. LapierreC	0	0	0	0	1	0.44	1	1	0	67	13:30
67M. PaciorettyL	0	0	0	0	4	0.43	2	1	0	—	13:30
15S. MilanoL	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	—	12:14
2V. IorioD	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	0	0	—	09:40

Washington Capitals goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
79C. Lindgren(W)	43	42	1	.977	3.32	+2.32	60:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score