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Red Wings at Capitals
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Washington Capitals
▸4
Final/OTTV BSDET, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 in overtime, Dylan Strome scoring at 1:55. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 1:55 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.3 to 2.7; shots on goal were DET 33, WSH 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.3 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Strome (2 G), 2. Connor McMichael (1 G), 3. Alex DeBrincat (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    D. Strome2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. McMichael1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET072201600333
WSHWSH071122912430

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    N. Dowd(9)
    N. Jensen (11), B. Malenstyn (14)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:09
  2. DET
    A. DeBrincat(24)
    J. Petry (18), J. Compher (23)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:53
  3. DET
    D. Perron(14)PPG
    J. Compher (24), D. Larkin (29)
    wristxG 0.84win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:17

3rd period

  1. WSH
    C. McMichael(17)
    T. Oshie (11), M. Fehérváry (11)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:35
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(24)
    J. Carlson (37), M. Pacioretty (16)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +26 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:49
  3. DET
    P. Kane(17)
    A. DeBrincat (35)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +37 ptsVideo
    3-3
    14:40

Overtime

  1. WSH
    D. Strome(25)
    J. Carlson (38), H. Lapierre (9)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    1:55

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 0:57WSHRasmus Sandin · Interferencedrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 13:10DETDavid Perron · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min

2nd

  • 15:51DETAndrew Copp · Interferencedrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min
  • 18:23WSHAliaksei Protas · High stickingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalDET goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, OT 1:55 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.20T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.17J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.17T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.14D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.13D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.13A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.13H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.12I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.10C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.09N. Dowd · Goal · xG 0.09C. McMichael · Goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.09B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.07A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.07M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Strome · Goal · xG 0.04C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03N. Aube-Kubel · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.02D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.01B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH4 G · 2.7 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsWSH
4.33 G
All situations
4 G2.7
2.22 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
2.11 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET66%34%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.70 – 2.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsWSH
33
Shots on goal
30
62%
Faceoffs
38%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
26
Hits
23
15
Blocked shots
19
5
Giveaways
9
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD000-210.05240—24:36
8B. ChiarotD000-110.01320—23:41
71D. LarkinC011-260.501107220:47
37J. CompherL022+120.333005519:57
46J. PetryD011010.15310—19:56
77S. EdvinssonD000010.03300—19:13
93A. DeBrincatR112020.48010—18:47
88P. KaneR101+120.14110—18:29
41S. GostisbehereD000010.10010—17:07
23L. RaymondL000-120.07010—17:00
57D. PerronL101-111.0230210016:25
18A. CoppC000-120.020225315:04
27M. RasmussenC000-110.01000014:34
2O. MaattaD000010.00010—14:33
36C. FischerR000-110.1920010013:26
14R. FabbriC000050.94000010:36
21A. CzarnikC000020.231006008:52
90J. VelenoC000010.03400008:42
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(O)30264.8672.70-1.3061:55

Season series

WSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).