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Islanders at Blue Jackets
NHL

New York Islanders at Columbus Blue Jackets

FinalTV BSOH, MSGSN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Noah Dobson's goal at 3:21 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 5.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYI 41, CBJ 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jet Greaves stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Noah Dobson (1 G), 2. Kirill Marchenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mathew Barzal (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    N. Dobson1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    K. Marchenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI21801429441
CBJCBJ2906012227

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:53
  2. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:45
  3. NYI
    slapxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:48
  4. CBJ
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:22

3rd period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.06win prob +26 ptsVideo
    3-2
    3:21
  2. NYI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.56win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:22

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·CBJ 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:58CBJJustin Danforth · Hookingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
  • 8:20NYIBrock Nelson · Slashingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min

2nd

  • 11:35CBJJake Bean · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

3rd

  • 10:39CBJDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalNYI goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Noah Dobson, 3rd 3:21 — NYI 48% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pyyhtia · On goal · xG 0.31K. Marchenko · Missed · xG 0.20A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.19D. Voronkov · Missed · xG 0.14K. Marchenko · Goal · xG 0.14D. Voronkov · Goal · xG 0.13C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.13J. Danforth · On goal · xG 0.12M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.11K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.10K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.08M. Olivier · On goal · xG 0.07A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.06K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.06D. Voronkov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Texier · On goal · xG 0.05D. Jiricek · On goal · xG 0.05A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.05A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.04C. Meyer · Missed · xG 0.04C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.03K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fix-Wolansky · Missed · xG 0.01M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.01E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.01
CBJ2 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCBJ
5.13 G
All situations
2 G2.3
3.72 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI81%19%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.44 – 2.29

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCBJ
41
Shots on goal
27
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
22
16
Blocked shots
22
1
Giveaways
4
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD011010.17010—23:45
8N. DobsonD101+120.07000—21:20
3A. PelechD000+120.04120—20:51
13M. BarzalC022+120.16100020:16
2M. ReillyD000050.19020—19:50
44J. PageauC000020.392207118:57
29B. NelsonC000+130.210026018:33
18P. EngvallL101020.36010—18:30
14B. HorvatC101+130.610005917:39
53C. CizikasC000010.330007517:29
28A. RomanovD022+210.02020—16:53
21K. PalmieriC112+171.15010016:19
27A. LeeL000+130.39330—14:15
10S. HolmstromR000000.00000—13:56
41R. BortuzzoD000000.00220—13:38
15C. ClutterbuckR000050.83100—10:31
32K. MacLeanC000020.141006708:39
17M. MartinL000+100.06100—08:08
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)27252.9262.33+0.3359:06

Season series

NYI leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).