Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 7-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Islanders led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 18:51 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.7 to 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 35, NYI 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 29 of 36 (.806), 4.8 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (2 G, 2 A), 2. Bo Horvat (2 G, 1 A), 3. Adam Fantilli (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Barzal2 G, 2 A

- ★★B. Horvat2 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Fantilli2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
10 goals1st period
0-14:00
2nd period
1-15:56
2-110:11
2-214:30
2-318:51
2-419:19
3rd period
3-41:28
3-55:33
3-611:31
3-711:51
Penalties
1st
- 12:07
Bo Horvat · Hookingdrawn by Ivan Provorov2 min
2nd
- 19:03
Kirill Marchenko · Hookingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
3rd
- 15:37
Johnny Gaudreau · Slashingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2nd 18:51 — 53% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.73 G
- All situations
- 7 G2.2
- 2.43 G
- Even strength
- 6 G1.9
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.14
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 35
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 21
- Hits
- 21
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 22
- 11
- Giveaways
- 12
- 4
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















