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Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators

FinalTV BSSO, NESN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Nashville Predators 3-0. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 13:18 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 46% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were BOS 32, NSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Linus Ullmark (31 saves, 1.000), 2. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A), 3. Juuse Saros (29 saves, .935).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    L. Ullmark31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    J. Saros29 saves, .935

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS01006316332
NSHNSH05012014031

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. BOS
    C. Coyle(24)SHG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +39 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:18
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.19win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:18
  3. BOS
    P. Zacha (34), D. Heinen (17)
    wristxG 0.46Video
    3-0
    18:36

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·NSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:25BOSDavid Pastrnak · Roughingdrawn by Jeremy Lauzon2 min
  • 17:10NSHLuke Schenn · Roughingdrawn by Justin Brazeau2 min

2nd

  • 1:05BOSCharlie McAvoy · Trippingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 14:19BOSJake DeBrusk · Interferencedrawn by Kiefer Sherwood2 min
  • 17:22NSHCole Smith · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min

3rd

  • 11:33BOSMason Lohrei · Hookingdrawn by Tommy Novak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalBOS goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 3rd 13:18 — BOS 46% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.18R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.18L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.13J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.10R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.09M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.08M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.07A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.06T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05C. Glass · Missed · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.05G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.03J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stastney · On goal · xG 0.00J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH0 G · 2.4 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNSH
3.02 G
All situations
0 G2.4
1.81 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.51 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS53%47%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.51 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
31
34%
Faceoffs
66%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
10
Hits
23
20
Blocked shots
9
10
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000+130.28122—23:46
27H. LindholmD000+210.02020—22:52
88D. PastrnakR112+270.96002—19:18
52A. PeekeD000+100.09250—19:10
25B. CarloD000+210.00040—18:59
74J. DeBruskL000010.00102—17:35
39M. GeekieC000020.131003817:31
63B. MarchandL011+110.09210—17:16
6M. LohreiD000020.01012—16:25
13C. CoyleC101+120.250004016:10
18P. ZachaC112+220.350004315:57
43D. HeinenL022+210.17020—15:54
12K. ShattenkirkD000000.00120—15:25
11T. FredericC000050.24100013:51
21J. van RiemsdykL000010.09000—13:30
19J. BeecherC000010.080102912:35
70J. BoqvistC000020.20100012:01
55J. BrazeauR000000.02000—03:45
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(W)313101.0002.36+2.3660:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).