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Nashville Predators at Boston Bruins

FinalTV BSSO, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Nashville Predators 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Pastrnak's goal at 14:46 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 52% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.8 to 2.8; shots on goal were NSH 36, BOS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Jeremy Swayman stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. James van Riemsdyk (2 G), 2. Jeremy Swayman (34 saves, .944), 3. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. van Riemsdyk2 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    J. Swayman34 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH11511308236
BOSBOS11111118330

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:29
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:48

2nd period

  1. BOS
    D. Pastrnak(3)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.28win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:46
  2. NSH
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:54

3rd period

  1. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:52

Penalties

NSH 10 PIM·BOS 14 PIM

1st

  • 4:21BOSBrad Marchand · High stickingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min
  • 6:08BOSCharlie McAvoy · Holding the stickdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 7:38NSHTommy Novak · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Carlo2 min
  • 10:18BOSDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Juuso Parssinen2 min
  • 13:49NSHKiefer Sherwood · Roughingdrawn by Charlie McAvoy2 min

2nd

  • 3:19BOSJakub Lauko · High sticking double minordrawn by Roman Josi4 min
  • 10:28BOSHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 12:23BOSBrad Marchand · Cross checkingdrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 14:46NSHAlexandre Carrier · Ps holding on breakawaydrawn by David Pastrnak0 min

3rd

  • 2:10NSHJeremy Lauzon · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Poitras2 min
  • 5:31NSHYakov Trenin · Interferencedrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 14:19NSHColton Sissons · Interferencedrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalNSH goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: David Pastrnak, 2nd 14:46 — BOS 52% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.28D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.21D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.19D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.16D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.14M. Poitras · On goal · xG 0.14T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.12D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.11H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.09T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · Goal · xG 0.09P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.08B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.07K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.07J. Beecher · On goal · xG 0.06M. Poitras · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.05M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.04C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.02M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.02T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.02J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.8 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsBOS
3.82 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
1.50 G
Power play
2 G1.4
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH66%34%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.77 – 2.73

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsBOS
36
Shots on goal
30
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/7
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
14
33
Hits
30
21
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
7
8
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011+160.25000—25:26
22T. BarrieD011+140.10110—23:20
9F. ForsbergL011+130.50200—21:32
90R. O'ReillyC000020.431006821:23
45A. CarrierD000000.00220—19:22
27R. McDonaghD000010.05150—18:24
10C. SissonsC202+250.471125916:24
8C. GlassC000020.212105716:14
14G. NyquistR000020.19310—15:37
57D. FabbroD000+100.00230—14:19
3J. LauzonD000+110.02632—14:10
13Y. TreninC000+230.36512013:55
26P. TomasinoR000000.00210—13:38
82T. NovakC000020.541024412:52
77L. EvangelistaR000030.27010—12:28
36C. SmithR000010.07200—12:07
75J. ParssinenC000000.31100011:48
44K. SherwoodL011+210.00112—11:44
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(L)30273.9002.80-0.2057:36

Season series

BOS leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).