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New Jersey Devils at Dallas Stars

FinalTV BSSW, MSGSN2·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Dallas Stars 6-2. The Stars scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Timo Meier's goal at 3:52 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were NJD 20, DAL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 8 of 10 (.800), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (35 saves, .946), 2. Chris Tierney (1 G, 1 A), 3. Timo Meier (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Allen35 saves, .946
  2. ★★
    NJD
    C. Tierney1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Meier1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD263816620
DALDAL27016014237

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn (33), T. Harley (22)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:15
  2. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:41
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:04
  4. NJD
    wristxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:14

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:31
  2. NJD
    J. Bratt (43), S. Nemec (15)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    3:52
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    5-2
    5:12

3rd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.07Video
    6-2
    14:25

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·DAL 0 PIM

1st

  • 9:16NJDKurtis MacDermid · Interferencedrawn by Esa Lindell2 min

2nd

  • 12:06NJDKevin Bahl · Cross checkingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min
  • 19:23NJDKevin Bahl · Cross checkingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNJD goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Timo Meier, 2nd 3:52 — NJD 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.29J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.28J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.22J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.21W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.17M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.14J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.13M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.12M. Marchment · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.09L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.08W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.08R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.08M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.08S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.05W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.05W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.04J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.04M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Marchment · Missed · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.02W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hakanpää · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.01W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.01S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 3.6 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsDAL
1.96 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.96 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD24%76%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 3.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsDAL
20
Shots on goal
37
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/0
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
0
22
Hits
27
23
Blocked shots
7
2
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57N. DeSimoneD011+110.01430—24:57
88K. BahlD000+100.00244—21:36
17S. NemecD011+300.00030—21:33
43L. HughesD011+320.14010—20:40
91D. MercerC101+120.42100020:16
86J. HughesC000+100.17000018:53
2B. SmithD000000.01110—18:34
92T. NosekL101010.011205817:49
56E. HaulaL101+130.352104217:31
28T. MeierR112+330.16300—16:28
13N. HischierC011+100.000105015:23
42C. LazarC011+210.18120015:20
18O. PalatL000-100.00430—14:47
63J. BrattL011+110.06010—13:39
82S. HatakkaD000020.01110—13:21
10A. HoltzR101030.35000—12:17
11C. TierneyC112+210.061004009:05
23K. MacDermidL011+100.00102—01:51
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(W)37352.9463.64+1.6460:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).