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Dallas Stars at New Jersey Devils

FinalTV BSSW, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the New Jersey Devils 6-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Roope Hintz's goal at 7:58 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 62% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.7 to 2.6; shots on goal were DAL 36, NJD 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Nico Daws stopped 30 of 36 (.833), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Scott Wedgewood (29 saves, .935), 2. Roope Hintz (2 G), 3. Wyatt Johnston (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    S. Wedgewood29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11431626636
NJDNJD0140829231

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:42

2nd period

  1. DAL
    R. Hintz(19)SHG
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:58
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin (18), T. Harley (13)
    wristxG 0.38win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    16:31
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    19:42

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-0
    2:10
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.19Video
    6-0
    7:18
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.15Video
    6-1
    13:15
  4. NJD
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.06Video
    6-2
    19:00

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·NJD 22 PIM

1st

  • 1:20DALRyan Suter · Trippingdrawn by Michael McLeod2 min
  • 5:26NJDCal Foote · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Seguin2 min

2nd

  • 2:28NJDCal Foote · Roughingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 6:01DALJason Robertson · High stickingdrawn by Luke Hughes2 min
  • 8:37NJDSimon Nemec · Holdingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min

3rd

  • 9:32NJDNathan Bastian · Trippingdrawn by Roope Hintz2 min
  • 9:57DALRyan Suter · Interferencedrawn by John Marino2 min
  • 14:53NJDTyler Toffoli · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 19:17NJDCal Foote · Roughingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min
  • 19:17NJDCal Foote · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalDAL goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Roope Hintz, 2nd 7:58 — DAL 62% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.39N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.20E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.20J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.15J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.15A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.13T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.12E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.08J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.06A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.05C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.05M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.04M. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.04L. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.04A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.04E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.02A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.01A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD2 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNJD
3.76 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.74 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL69%31%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.64 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNJD
36
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/6
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
22
12
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
18
1
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD022+210.04300—23:01
23E. LindellD011+110.00110—20:42
2J. HakanpääD000+210.03170—18:59
53W. JohnstonC112+330.760204518:27
21J. RobertsonL022+200.01012—17:46
5N. LundkvistD000-130.10010—17:36
20R. SuterD022+110.04214—17:35
24R. HintzC202+360.531005016:43
44J. HanleyD000+100.01110—16:24
95M. DucheneC101010.380005715:17
16J. PavelskiC101050.621204215:02
10T. DellandreaC011010.011101415:01
91T. SeguinC011010.190004414:57
12R. FaksaC000010.090005714:56
14J. BennL011060.480007113:46
63E. DadonovL000000.00000—13:37
18S. SteelC000010.0700010013:14
15C. SmithC101040.39100011:08
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)31292.9352.58+0.5859:49

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).