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Washington Capitals at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Washington Capitals 7-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Zach Hyman's goal at 14:13 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals were close — WSH 3.3, EDM 3.4; shots on goal were WSH 25, EDM 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 30 of 37 (.811), 3.6 goals below expected; Stuart Skinner stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Zach Hyman (3 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 3 A), 3. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    Z. Hyman3 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH25010010225
EDMEDM310211216737

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:36
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(25)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-2
    6:58
  3. WSH
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    8:30
  4. WSH
    snapxG 0.32win prob +10 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:55
  5. EDM
    C. McDavid (81), B. Kulak (10)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:24

2nd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.21win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    14:13
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(46)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +5 ptsVideo
    2-5
    19:08

3rd period

  1. EDM
    snapxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-6
    10:43
  2. EDM
    E. Kane (17), A. Henrique (25)
    deflectedxG 0.12Video
    2-7
    11:00

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:05WSHNic Dowd · High sticking double minordrawn by Darnell Nurse4 min
  • 6:25WSHDylan Strome · High stickingdrawn by Adam Henrique2 min
  • 9:19EDMRyan McLeod · Holdingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

2nd

  • 2:05EDMTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 18:24WSHT.J. Oshie · Cross checkingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 19:21EDMTroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min

3rd

  • 2:10EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWSH goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Zach Hyman, 2nd 14:13 — EDM 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.34Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.21C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.18L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.15L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.13W. Foegele · Goal · xG 0.12C. Brown · Goal · xG 0.12M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.12L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.08C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.08W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.08C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.05W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.04R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.04M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02V. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.00C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.00C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.00M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM7 G · 3.4 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsEDM
3.32 G
All situations
7 G3.4
2.51 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.91 G
Power play
3 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH50%50%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.30 – 3.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsEDM
25
Shots on goal
37
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/4
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
33
Hits
19
13
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
8
16
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-200.00200—23:49
38R. SandinD000010.03000—21:10
8A. OvechkinL011070.66000—20:17
3N. JensenD000-100.04410—19:47
77T. OshieR000010.44302—17:45
42M. FehérváryD000-200.00700—17:15
17D. StromeC000010.030123617:00
24C. McMichaelL101-110.320006416:57
29H. LapierreC000040.232103616:10
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.00020—16:04
47B. MalenstynL000-200.004105015:37
43T. WilsonR000-100.0011010015:35
25E. BearD000000.15130—14:25
67M. PaciorettyL011-110.02410—14:04
96N. Aube-KubelR000-130.16200—13:01
26N. DowdC000-220.440143112:28
63I. MiroshnichenkoL101-110.18300—12:05
15S. MilanoL000030.63010—11:54
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)37307.8113.38-3.6259:49

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).