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Edmonton Oilers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV MNMT, SNW·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Washington Capitals 5-0. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 15:24 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were EDM 35, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 25 of 25 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (4 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 G, 1 A), 3. Stuart Skinner (25 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid4 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    S. Skinner25 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2213905535
WSHWSH0601108025

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:10
  2. EDM
    batxG 0.26win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:24

2nd period

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    3:44
  2. EDM
    snapxG 0.20win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-0
    4:48
  3. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-0
    18:37

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 20:00WSHAlex Ovechkin · High stickingdrawn by Vincent Desharnais2 min

2nd

  • 1:31EDMWarren Foegele · Hookingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 3:37WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
  • 3:44WSHJohn Carlson · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 12:36EDMWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:36EDMBrett Kulak · Trippingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 17:51WSHNic Dowd · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 5:20EDMMattias Ekholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Beck Malenstyn2 min
  • 14:09EDMConnor Brown · Trippingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalEDM goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, 1st 15:24 — EDM 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.17S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.16S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.11N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.08C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.08B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Malenstyn · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.02R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH0 G · 1.6 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsWSH
3.15 G
All situations
0 G1.6
2.12 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
0.93 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM75%25%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsWSH
35
Shots on goal
25
57%
Faceoffs
43%
3/4
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
26
9
Blocked shots
13
16
Giveaways
6
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000020.01130—22:13
5C. CeciD000010.02320—21:20
73V. DesharnaisD011+200.00010—19:51
2E. BouchardD101+130.10000—19:06
97C. McDavidC044+120.100004318:36
18Z. HymanL022+170.38110—18:31
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC123+120.531003318:26
14M. EkholmD000030.12002—18:25
29L. DraisaitlC213+130.750005917:01
27B. KulakD000+130.04102—16:47
91E. KaneL101+150.492105016:36
28C. BrownR000000.001027516:25
71R. McLeodC000010.390107514:13
10D. RyanC000010.0200010012:40
37W. FoegeleL000020.06004—12:19
13M. JanmarkC000000.0340010010:45
21A. ErneL000+100.00200—09:13
57J. HamblinL000000.001004007:33
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)252501.0001.64+1.6460:00

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).