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Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV BSNX, BSWI·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Wild led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Eriksson Ek's goal at 7:16 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 5.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 28, ARI 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 26 (.885). Three stars: 1. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brock Faber (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    B. Faber1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN07111410528
ARIARI0701127225

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.52win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:51

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(23)PPG
    wristxG 0.25win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:21
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:28
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.18win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:00
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:16
  5. MIN
    wristxG 0.63win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:48
  6. MIN
    C. Dewar(10)EN
    wristxG 0.95Video
    5-2
    19:33

Penalties

MIN 26 PIM·ARI 34 PIM

2nd

  • 1:42ARISean Durzi · Trippingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 2:09MINMarco Rossi · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Karel Vejmelka2 min
  • 4:11MINDakota Mermis · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min

3rd

  • 1:10MINMarco Rossi · Trippingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
  • 2:00ARIserved by L. O'Brien · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 19:51ARIPatrik Koch · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:51ARIJoshua Brown · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:51ARILiam O'Brien · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:51MINVinni Lettieri · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:51MINMason Shaw · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalMIN goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Eriksson Ek, 3rd 7:16 — MIN 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.40C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.25M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.21D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.20A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.17B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.16A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.13B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.13A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.11D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.10M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.09M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.06L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hayton · Missed · xG 0.04M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.02J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01P. Koch · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · On goal · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 2.9 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsARI
5.13 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN53%47%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsARI
28
Shots on goal
25
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
1/3
26
Penalty minutes
34
31
Hits
30
24
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25J. BrodinD011+310.49160—25:40
7B. FaberD112+310.63050—25:07
14J. Eriksson EkC112+230.142004320:25
47D. ChisholmD000020.04220—20:20
97K. KaprizovL101+210.64200—18:58
12M. BoldyL000020.53000—18:49
24Z. BogosianD101020.20310—18:34
38R. HartmanR022+210.183307517:22
36M. ZuccarelloR033+240.36100—17:06
89F. GaudreauC000030.200003817:05
26C. DewarC101031.065203814:55
6D. MermisD000010.13512—14:28
4J. MerrillD000000.00010—14:02
23M. RossiC000030.2900410013:18
11A. BeckmanL011000.05210—12:58
10V. LettieriC000000.181110009:32
27J. LucchiniC000+100.000107509:16
15M. ShawC000010.024010007:54
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)25232.9202.85+0.8560:00

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).