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Coyotes at Wild
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
1
Minnesota Wild
▸4
FinalTV BSWIX, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 18:16 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 54% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 4.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were ARI 23, MIN 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 22 of 23 (.957). Three stars: 1. Ryan Hartman (1 G), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G, 1 A), 3. Marc-Andre Fleury (22 saves, .957).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury22 saves, .957

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI051909123
MINMIN16114211431

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(32)
    B. Faber (32), J. Merrill (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    6:29

2nd period

  1. ARI
    N. Bjugstad(16)
    M. Carcone (8), M. Kesselring (10)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:08
  2. MIN
    R. Hartman(17)PPG
    K. Kaprizov (40), F. Gaudreau (9)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:16

3rd period

  1. MIN
    K. Kaprizov(33)EN
    J. Middleton (14)
    wristxG 0.41win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-3
    17:28
  2. MIN
    M. Foligno(10)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.35Video
    1-4
    17:55

Penalties

ARI 8 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:17MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 10:30ARIJuuso Välimäki · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 13:50MINZach Bogosian · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 15:55ARIserved by Jack McBain · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 16:40ARIMichael Kesselring · Cross checkingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

3rd

  • 7:31ARINick Bjugstad · High stickingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 2nd 18:16 — MIN 54% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.41M. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.35R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.27J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.26R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.22R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.22M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.18M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.17R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.16R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.12K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.12M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.11F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.11M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.09R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.08M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.07K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.06D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.06D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.05F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.05J. Lucchini · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · Goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.02D. Chisholm · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Chisholm · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01
MIN4 G · 4.8 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
1.41 G
All situations
2 G4.8
1.11 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
1 G1.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI12%88%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.36 – 3.92

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
23
Shots on goal
31
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
9
15
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD000-100.00100—21:32
90J. MoserD000-100.00130—21:15
9C. KellerR000-150.47000—20:37
17N. BjugstadC101020.162123220:30
92L. CooleyC000-130.210003919:57
15A. KerfootC000-100.002105019:06
4J. VälimäkiD000-110.03132—18:59
8N. SchmaltzC000-120.05010018:55
11D. GuentherR000-130.18100—18:30
5M. KesselringD011030.03322—18:14
3J. BrownD000000.04110—18:13
67L. CrouseL000-110.01000—17:41
33T. DermottD000010.02010—17:41
63M. MaccelliL000010.05110—14:10
53M. CarconeL011000.11000—11:26
38L. O'BrienC000-100.00100007:22
49J. LeonardL000-110.01000—05:22
22J. McBainC000-100.00110003:33
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(L)29272.9314.02+2.0259:21

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).