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Utah Mammoth at Minnesota Wild

FinalTV BSWIX, BSN·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Minnesota Wild 6-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Bjugstad's goal at 11:47 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were ARI 33, MIN 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Connor Ingram stopped 38 of 38 (1.000), 3.2 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 14 of 15 (.933). Three stars: 1. Nick Bjugstad (3 G), 2. Connor Ingram (38 saves, 1.000), 3. Clayton Keller (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    N. Bjugstad3 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Ingram38 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI31129113633
MINMIN08016014038

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller (21), S. Durzi (16)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:07
  2. ARI
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:47
  3. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    17:21

2nd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-0
    1:51
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-0
    6:40

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.19Video
    6-0
    0:38

Penalties

ARI 18 PIM·MIN 18 PIM

1st

  • 2:42ARILiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 2:42MINBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min
  • 4:30MINJon Merrill · Holdingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 15:34MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Roughingdrawn by Sean Durzi2 min
  • 19:25ARIJack McBain · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 1:58MINJon Merrill · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Guenther2 min
  • 4:19ARILawson Crouse · Roughingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min
  • 4:19MINJake Middleton · Roughingdrawn by Lawson Crouse2 min
  • 15:32ARIJoshua Brown · Roughingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

3rd

  • 5:21MINMarcus Foligno · Fightingdrawn by Joshua Brown5 min
  • 5:21ARIJoshua Brown · Fightingdrawn by Marcus Foligno5 min
  • 7:24ARITroy Stecher · Trippingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalARI goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Bjugstad, 1st 11:47 — ARI 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.36K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.20M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.16J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.14R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.11B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.11P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.09A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.07A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.07B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.06M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.06F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.04R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.03K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.02M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Middleton · Missed · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mermis · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN0 G · 3.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsMIN
2.56 G
All situations
0 G3.2
2.04 G
Even strength
0 G2.2
0.52 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI38%62%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.48 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsMIN
33
Shots on goal
38
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/3
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
18
17
Hits
32
18
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15A. KerfootC101010.150104621:40
8N. SchmaltzC011+150.290003321:21
24M. DumbaD000010.01010—20:48
50S. DurziD022+200.14220—20:11
90J. MoserD000+210.03210—19:20
51T. StecherD011+210.01132—17:57
67L. CrouseL011010.00002—17:48
63M. MaccelliL000010.11210—17:23
17N. BjugstadC303+270.660005816:54
9C. KellerR213+230.30000—16:39
33T. DermottD000010.04220—16:16
5M. KesselringD011+210.07200—15:42
22J. McBainC022+200.002422515:17
92L. CooleyC000030.301104314:32
11D. GuentherR000+130.15010—13:43
16J. ZuckerL022+320.09010—13:34
38L. O'BrienC000+110.08205007:18
3J. BrownD000010.04107—05:58
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Ingram(W)383801.0003.22+3.2259:39

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).