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Senators at Ducks
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Anaheim Ducks
▸2
FinalTV BSW, TVAS·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Ducks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 3:27 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.4 to 2.1; shots on goal were OTT 30, ANA 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Mads Sogaard stopped 14 of 16 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Dostal (29 saves, .967), 2. Alex Killorn (1 G), 3. Olen Zellweger (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Dostal29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Killorn1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    O. Zellweger1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1804018130
ANAANA031815216

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    M. Kastelic(3)
    A. Zub (18), M. Highmore (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:44

2nd period

  1. ANA
    R. Strome(10)
    F. Vatrano (20), B. Leason (8)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:42

3rd period

  1. ANA
    A. Killorn(10)
    O. Zellweger (2), C. Fowler (25)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +25 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:27

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:59ANAGlenn Gawdin · Holdingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 17:55ANAMax Jones · Interferencedrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 17:55OTTParker Kelly · Embellishment2 min

2nd

  • 8:15ANARyan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 9:26OTTJakob Chychrun · Holdingdrawn by Isac Lundeström2 min
  • 10:09ANAPavel Mintyukov · Trippingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 17:06OTTBrady Tkachuk · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min

3rd

  • 18:26OTTserved by D. Batherson · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:19OTTThomas Chabot · Holdingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalOTT goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 3rd 3:27 — ANA 52% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.58F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.44A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.12A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.11I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.11B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.08M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.06C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.06P. Regenda · On goal · xG 0.06R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05G. Gawdin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Leason · Missed · xG 0.04U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.03R. Strome · Goal · xG 0.03R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.00U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 2.1 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsANA
3.41 G
All situations
2 G2.1
2.81 G
Even strength
2 G0.8
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT88%12%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.33 – 1.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsANA
30
Shots on goal
16
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
36
14
Blocked shots
19
11
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD000-100.07212—24:26
18T. StützleC000-130.350005021:59
7B. TkachukL000-130.353026721:40
6J. ChychrunD000030.73122—21:37
28C. GirouxR000-100.001008521:25
85J. SandersonD000030.07010—20:47
2A. ZubD011030.23130—19:24
21M. JosephR000030.15030—17:05
57S. PintoC000-150.550005616:57
26E. BrannstromD000000.00010—16:21
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-100.00010—16:17
19D. BathersonR000-200.25110—14:31
71R. GreigC000000.00000014:02
27P. KellyC000+130.2611210012:26
49R. ChartierC000030.202003612:19
81D. KubalikL000000.00100—08:25
12M. KastelicC101+110.052005007:11
15M. HighmoreC011+100.13000006:06
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40M. Sogaard(L)16142.8751.06-0.9458:47

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).