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Ducks at Senators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸5
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 17:25 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.6 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 20, OTT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. John Gibson stopped 15 of 15 (1.000), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Joonas Korpisalo stopped 15 of 20 (.750), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mason McTavish (2 G), 2. Frank Vatrano (1 G, 2 A), 3. Cam Fowler (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    M. McTavish2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    F. Vatrano1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    C. Fowler1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA172429520
OTTOTT0807119134

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    P. Mintyukov(3)
    T. Terry (23), L. Carlsson (13)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:19

2nd period

  1. ANA
    F. Vatrano(23)PPG
    C. Fowler (22), R. Strome (19)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    17:25
  2. ANA
    M. McTavish(14)
    J. Silfverberg (9), F. Vatrano (17)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    3-0
    18:59

3rd period

  1. ANA
    M. McTavish(15)
    T. Terry (24), C. Fowler (23)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-0
    2:18
  2. OTT
    C. Giroux(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.09win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    4:43
  3. ANA
    C. Fowler(4)PPG
    R. Strome (20), F. Vatrano (18)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-1
    9:23

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·OTT 8 PIM

1st

  • 6:32ANARoss Johnston · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:31ANAMax Jones · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

2nd

  • 16:19OTTJosh Norris · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min

3rd

  • 4:59ANARadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 4:59OTTJakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 7:59OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 11:07ANAMason McTavish · Roughingdrawn by Jakob Chychrun2 min
  • 11:07OTTJakob Chychrun · Roughingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 14:21ANAMax Jones · Interferencedrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 16:53ANAMason McTavish · Trippingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalANA goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 2nd 17:25 — ANA 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.20B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.14J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.14B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.13B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.12J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.12T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.09C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.09J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.09R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.07S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.07T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.07R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.06R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.05J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.05M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.04R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.04D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.04T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.03M. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02M. Joseph · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Guenette · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Guenette · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 2.6 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsOTT
1.45 G
All situations
1 G2.6
1.23 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.22 G
Power play
0 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA27%73%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.40 – 2.59

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsOTT
20
Shots on goal
34
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/2
Power play
0/4
12
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
30
15
Blocked shots
11
9
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD123+220.08010—22:58
7R. GudasD000020.02512—21:52
5U. VaakanainenD000000.00110—20:52
14A. HenriqueC000030.121105019:23
77F. VatranoR123+130.14410—18:36
46I. LyubushkinD000010.01230—17:42
28G. LindstromD000+100.00300—17:37
34P. MintyukovD101+110.23110—16:34
19T. TerryR022+120.1900010016:01
16R. StromeC022+100.001106715:43
91L. CarlssonC011+110.162007515:36
21I. LundestromC000000.002205515:01
33J. SilfverbergR011+100.00000—14:40
24B. GroulxC000010.12320012:56
23M. McTavishC202+120.141044011:49
39S. CarrickC000010.021006211:37
49M. JonesL000010.19104—09:39
44R. JohnstonL000000.00112—09:24
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)151501.0001.16+1.1640:00
1L. Dostal19181.9471.47+0.4720:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).