Skip to content
Panthers at Red Wings
NHL

Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV ABC, ESPN+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Montour's goal at 8:50 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.2 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 37, DET 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.4 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 33 of 37 (.892). Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (1 G, 2 A), 2. Evan Rodrigues (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (21 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Montour1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    E. Rodrigues1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky21 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA09212216437
DETDET0501006021

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.32win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:50
  2. FLA
    snapxG 0.30win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:06

3rd period

  1. FLA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:39
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(15)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.15Video
    4-0
    13:02

Penalties

FLA 30 PIM·DET 40 PIM

1st

  • 6:36FLAEetu Luostarinen · Interferencedrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
  • 12:03DETMoritz Seider · Slashingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 14:19FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 14:19DETDavid Perron · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

2nd

  • 0:54FLASam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 5:13FLAKevin Stenlund · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 11:07DETJake Walman · Holdingdrawn by Carter Verhaeghe2 min
  • 13:06FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 13:06DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:50FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Roughingdrawn by Alex DeBrincat2 min
  • 18:50DETAlex DeBrincat · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

3rd

  • 9:57FLABrandon Montour · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 9:57FLASam Bennett · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 9:57DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:57DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 9:57DETDylan Larkin · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 12:45DETJake Walman · Roughingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 12:45DETJake Walman · Slashingdrawn by Gustav Forsling2 min
  • 12:45DETJake Walman · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:31FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 16:31FLARyan Lomberg · Roughingdrawn by Robby Fabbri2 min
  • 16:31FLARyan Lomberg · Misconduct10 min
  • 16:31DETRobby Fabbri · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalFLA goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Montour, 2nd 8:50 — FLA 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.63R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.29P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.19A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.13P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.12L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.10D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.09J. Veleno · On goal · xG 0.09B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.08D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.08L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.07R. Fabbri · On goal · xG 0.07D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.05D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.04D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.03D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.02M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.01L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.01O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.00J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.00J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.00D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.00
DET0 G · 2.4 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDET
4.24 G
All situations
0 G2.4
2.12 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
1.92 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA76%24%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.03 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDET
37
Shots on goal
21
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/5
Power play
0/5
30
Penalty minutes
40
40
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
22
1
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD000010.03200—22:51
42G. ForslingD000010.05010—21:39
62B. MontourD123+140.77202—20:47
19M. TkachukL000050.38702—20:24
16A. BarkovC112010.273305718:57
13S. ReinhartC101030.801301118:12
9S. BennettC000040.455165718:06
23C. VerhaegheC011000.05000017:43
77N. MikkolaD000+110.15120—16:37
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000+110.06212—16:31
7D. KulikovD000+130.06220—15:38
15A. LundellC022+240.190007513:40
17E. RodriguesC112+250.32300013:02
27E. LuostarinenC011+210.25402012:08
82K. StenlundC000010.111125811:37
21N. CousinsC000020.2120010010:10
67W. LockwoodR000000.00200—08:35
94R. LombergL000000.003014—08:17
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)212101.0002.41+2.4159:37

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).