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Panthers at Red Wings
NHL

Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV BSDETX, BSFL·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Lorentz's goal at 19:08 of the second period, which took the Panthers' chances from 47% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were FLA 27, DET 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected; James Reimer stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (22 saves, 1.000), 2. Steven Lorentz (1 G), 3. James Reimer (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky22 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Lorentz1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    J. Reimer25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA01011017227
DETDET060907022

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.02win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-0
    19:08

3rd period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.46win prob +7 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:48

Penalties

FLA 10 PIM·DET 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:23DETKlim Kostin · Hookingdrawn by Uvis Balinskis2 min
  • 16:38FLADmitry Kulikov · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min

2nd

  • 2:52FLAEetu Luostarinen · Slashingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 3:19DETAlex DeBrincat · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 8:21FLARyan Lomberg · Cross checkingdrawn by Daniel Sprong2 min
  • 11:21DETBen Chiarot · Cross checkingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 13:49FLAKevin Stenlund · Slashingdrawn by Shayne Gostisbehere2 min
  • 16:40DETAndrew Copp · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min

3rd

  • 12:56DETDylan Larkin · Interferencedrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 14:25FLAGustav Forsling · Interferencedrawn by Jake Walman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalFLA goalFinal: DET 0%

Biggest swing: Steven Lorentz, 2nd 19:08 — FLA 47% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.21A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.16J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13D. Sprong · Missed · xG 0.11D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.07J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.07D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.06D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.06A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.03A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.01J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.01M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.00D. Sprong · On goal · xG 0.00B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.00
DET0 G · 1.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsDET
3.21 G
All situations
0 G1.8
1.41 G
Even strength
0 G1.0
1.20 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA65%35%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 1.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsDET
27
Shots on goal
22
66%
Faceoffs
34%
0/5
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
10
10
Hits
30
11
Blocked shots
20
2
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.00210—26:24
42G. ForslingD000020.04042—21:50
16A. BarkovC000040.700008621:43
13S. ReinhartC000020.191006221:27
19M. TkachukL011+150.6600010021:07
7D. KulikovD011+200.23102—18:39
77N. MikkolaD011+220.06110—17:30
15A. LundellC101+150.770004717:01
17E. RodriguesC000000.15000016:25
23C. VerhaegheC000+130.0800010016:10
27E. LuostarinenC000+120.1412210015:13
26U. BalinskisD000000.00000—14:47
82K. StenlundC000000.000125713:41
28J. MahuraD000000.00100—12:35
21N. CousinsC000010.14010011:51
18S. LorentzC101+110.020106708:22
94R. LombergL000+100.03002—08:18
67W. LockwoodR000000.00300—07:08
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)222201.0001.83+1.8359:49

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).