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Hurricanes at Blue Jackets
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸4
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
FinalTV ESPN+, HULU·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Skjei's goal at 16:30 of the second period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 68% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 2.2; shots on goal were CAR 33, CBJ 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Spencer Martin stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Daniil Tarasov stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brady Skjei (1 G, 1 A), 2. Alex Nylander (1 G, 1 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    B. Skjei1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    A. Nylander1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR07313113433
CBJCBJ0411018222

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. CAR
    T. Teravainen(18)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:53
  2. CAR
    S. Aho(23)
    B. Skjei (25), B. Pesce (6)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    8:19
  3. CBJ
    C. Sillinger(10)
    Z. Werenski (30), A. Nylander (1)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:56
  4. CAR
    B. Skjei(8)
    J. Kotkaniemi (11), B. Burns (23)
    pokexG 0.14win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:30

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    A. Nylander(1)PPG
    J. Roslovic (14), B. Jenner (9)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    8:41
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(19)EN
    J. Martinook (13), B. Pesce (7)
    wristxG 0.73win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:45

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·CBJ 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:01CBJDamon Severson · Trippingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min

2nd

  • 14:22CARBrady Skjei · Holdingdrawn by Alexandre Texier2 min

3rd

  • 7:50CARJordan Martinook · Trippingdrawn by Boone Jenner2 min
  • 13:12CARMichael Bunting · Roughingdrawn by Damon Severson2 min
  • 13:12CBJDamon Severson · Roughingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalCAR goalFinal: CBJ 0%

Biggest swing: Brady Skjei, 2nd 16:30 — CAR 68% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.37J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.21S. Kuraly · Missed · xG 0.15K. Marchenko · On goal · xG 0.14C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.13B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.10J. Danforth · Missed · xG 0.10A. Nylander · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.08J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.07J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.07C. Sillinger · Goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.05A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.04D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.04A. Nylander · Goal · xG 0.04A. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sillinger · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02A. Texier · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Olivier · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ2 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCBJ
3.33 G
All situations
2 G2.2
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR49%51%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.19 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCBJ
33
Shots on goal
22
61%
Faceoffs
39%
0/1
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
5
Hits
12
11
Blocked shots
22
2
Giveaways
2
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000010.01010—21:21
76B. SkjeiD112+470.31112—20:43
22B. PesceD022+340.05110—20:22
7D. OrlovD000010.01000—20:16
8B. BurnsD011030.19010—19:31
58M. BuntingL000-100.00002—17:24
88M. NecasC000-130.16000017:08
20S. AhoC101+250.520004717:03
18J. DruryC000-100.100105616:14
24S. JarvisR101+120.750005016:13
86T. TeravainenC101+210.12010015:55
5J. ChatfieldD000000.00010—15:49
37A. SvechnikovR000+240.75010—15:26
11J. StaalC000+100.021108215:04
48J. MartinookL011+100.00012—13:19
71J. FastR000+100.09100—11:46
23S. NoesenR000000.001005010:51
82J. KotkaniemiC011+120.180106010:44
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Martin(W)22202.9092.23+0.2360:00

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).