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Blue Jackets at Hurricanes
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Carolina Hurricanes
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, BSSO·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 3-2. The Hurricanes came back from two goals down. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrei Svechnikov's goal at 18:05 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 96%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.5 to 1.5; shots on goal were CBJ 23, CAR 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 40 of 43 (.930); Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Brady Skjei (1 G), 3. Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CAR
    B. Skjei1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ080827223
CARCAR01809316343

Scoring

5 goals

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    K. Marchenko(6)
    J. Gaudreau (8)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:13
  2. CBJ
    J. Gaudreau(3)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.16win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    6:41
  3. CAR
    J. Kotkaniemi(7)
    T. Teravainen (5), M. Necas (8)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:01
  4. CAR
    B. Skjei(3)
    A. Svechnikov (8), S. Jarvis (8)
    backhandxG 0.36win prob +42 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:51
  5. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(1)
    S. Aho (12), S. Jarvis (9)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +44 ptsVideo
    2-3
    18:05

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·CAR 0 PIM

1st

  • 16:42CBJDavid Jiricek · Holding the stickdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 10:50CBJBoone Jenner · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalCBJ goalFinal: CAR 100%

Biggest swing: Andrei Svechnikov, 3rd 18:05 — CAR 52% → 96%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Skjei · Goal · xG 0.36S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.23T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.19M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.18M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.16J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.14M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.14S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.14M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.13S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.12J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.12M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.11A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.10J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.10M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.09S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.09T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.06A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kotkaniemi · On goal · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR3 G · 3.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCAR
1.52 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.22 G
Even strength
3 G2.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ17%83%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.46 – 3.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCAR
23
Shots on goal
43
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
25
Hits
13
28
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000020.02010—23:36
9I. ProvorovD000-110.01140—22:20
44E. GudbransonD000-200.00160—22:13
13J. GaudreauL112+220.18000—18:56
86K. MarchenkoR101+120.03110—18:42
38B. JennerC000+130.223325517:40
27A. BoqvistD000010.01230—17:35
22J. BeanD000000.00140—17:25
11A. FantilliC000-120.101002916:11
55D.JiricekD000+120.02002—15:34
29P. LaineL000-100.11100—15:06
17J. DanforthR000+120.221203315:03
4C. SillingerC000-210.021304414:50
10D. VoronkovL000-110.02210—13:34
42A. TexierL000-110.22000—12:30
7S. KuralyC000020.014005712:27
50E. RobinsonL000-100.05600—11:56
59E. ChinakhovR000-110.24000—11:27
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90E. Merzlikins(L)43403.9303.46+0.4658:55

Season series

CAR leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).