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Islanders at Stars
NHL

New York Islanders at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
Final/OTTV NHLN, BSSW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 2:54. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 2:54 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were NYI 28, DAL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Logan Stankoven (1 G, 1 A), 2. Bo Horvat (1 G), 3. Ilya Sorokin (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    L. Stankoven1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI1101130411328
DALDAL013290901232

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    R. Pulock(4)
    S. Holmstrom (7), C. Cizikas (7)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:59

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Duchene(23)PPG
    T. Harley (21), L. Stankoven (1)
    snapxG 0.49win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:11
  2. NYI
    K. MacLean(2)
    P. Engvall (12), R. Pulock (6)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:24
  3. DAL
    L. Stankoven(1)
    W. Johnston (22)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    18:17

Overtime

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(23)
    M. Barzal (44), M. Reilly (10)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    2:54

Penalties

NYI 2 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 19:52DALMiro Heiskanen · Holdingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

2nd

  • 1:23DALThomas Harley · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:21NYIRyan Pulock · Interferencedrawn by Logan Stankoven2 min

3rd

  • 13:27DALSam Steel · Holdingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalNYI goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 2:54 — NYI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.51M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.49S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.28T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.26R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.16R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.13J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.08L. Stankoven · Goal · xG 0.07C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.06T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.06S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.05R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.04R. Faksa · Missed · xG 0.04T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.03W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.03J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dellandrea · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.02T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.01J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Harley · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 3.4 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsDAL
2.93 G
All situations
2 G3.4
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI41%59%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsDAL
28
Shots on goal
32
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
36
Hits
28
26
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
11
8
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD000-100.04230—26:05
13M. BarzalC011+140.314203325:17
14B. HorvatC101+170.672105325:07
29B. NelsonC000020.40010022:28
6R. PulockD112+220.06252—20:59
3A. PelechD000-100.21130—20:00
28A. RomanovD000+100.01240—19:04
2M. ReillyD011+110.00310—17:15
44J. PageauC000-100.141005617:11
18P. EngvallL011+240.10110—16:20
25S. AhoD000+100.01020—16:06
27A. LeeL000-120.46210—15:31
21K. PalmieriC000-120.1710010014:44
53C. CizikasC011+100.002103813:37
10S. HolmstromR011+100.09000—12:59
15C. ClutterbuckR000+100.00700—08:30
17M. MartinL000030.05310—08:12
32K. MacLeanC101+110.203003307:27
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(W)32302.9383.38+1.3862:54

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).