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Stars at Islanders
NHL

Dallas Stars at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
2
New York Islanders
▸3
Final/OTTV BSSW, MSGSN·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Dallas Stars 3-2 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 0:41. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 0:41 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 43, NYI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G), 2. Ilya Sorokin (41 saves, .953), 3. Noah Dobson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Horvat1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    I. Sorokin41 saves, .953
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    N. Dobson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL01621401300243
NYINYI113051911328

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Romanov(5)
    M. Barzal (35), N. Dobson (40)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:52

2nd period

  1. DAL
    J. Robertson(16)
    J. Pavelski (22), R. Faksa (7)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:35
  2. DAL
    N. Lundkvist(2)
    S. Steel (9), J. Pavelski (23)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:08

3rd period

  1. NYI
    H. Fasching(3)
    N. Dobson (41), B. Nelson (17)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +28 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:23

Overtime

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(19)
    M. Barzal (36)
    backhandxG 0.28win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:41

Penalties

DAL 0 PIM·NYI 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:17NYIScott Mayfield · Holdingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 14:05NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by Jani Hakanpää2 min

2nd

  • 8:49NYIBrock Nelson · Holdingdrawn by Sam Steel2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDAL goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 0:41 — NYI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.27J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.18J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.17B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13H. Fasching · Goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.07M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.06M. Martin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.04S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.04A. Romanov · Goal · xG 0.04H. Fasching · On goal · xG 0.03A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.01B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.01K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.01K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Romanov · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI3 G · 2.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNYI
2.82 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL60%40%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNYI
43
Shots on goal
28
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
0/0
0
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
38
11
Blocked shots
23
10
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
21J. RobertsonL101+170.61100—23:38
55T. HarleyD000-150.16110—22:45
2J. HakanpääD000-220.05240—20:20
23E. LindellD000-130.17100—19:57
20R. SuterD000+120.03210—19:34
24R. HintzC000020.120004418:34
5N. LundkvistD101+140.11100—18:09
16J. PavelskiC022+150.250106018:03
95M. DucheneC000-210.180107117:50
53W. JohnstonC000040.340106017:32
91T. SeguinC000-210.061005717:23
27M. MarchmentL000020.26100—16:47
14J. BennL000010.121109115:54
44J. HanleyD000+100.05110—14:38
18S. SteelC011010.05100013:41
12R. FaksaC011+120.112005011:47
63E. DadonovL000-110.15100—11:47
15C. SmithC000000.00000003:44
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(O)28253.8932.28-0.7260:41

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).