Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Philadelphia Flyers 7-6. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 4-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Drew O'Connor's goal at 6:41 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 21, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Cal Petersen stopped 25 of 32 (.781), 4.5 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 15 of 21 (.714), 4.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (1 G, 3 A), 2. Bryan Rust (2 G, 1 A), 3. Tyson Foerster (2 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★S. Crosby1 G, 3 A

- ★★B. Rust2 G, 1 A

- ★★★T. Foerster2 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
13 goals1st period
1-02:11
1-19:38
1-217:15
2nd period
2-20:55
2-311:15
2-413:38
3-416:33
4-417:36
3rd period
4-56:41
4-68:38
5-610:10
5-715:13
6-717:57
Penalties
2nd
- 1:52
Lars Eller · High sticking double minordrawn by Morgan Frost4 min
- 4:14
Morgan Frost · Slashingdrawn by Reilly Smith2 min
- 10:12
Travis Sanheim · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
- 11:54
Nicolas Deslauriers · Roughingdrawn by Jansen Harkins2 min
- 16:48
Travis Sanheim · Interferencedrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
3rd
- 3:26
Evgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
- 10:32
Rickard Rakell · Trippingdrawn by Cam York2 min
- 17:30
Sidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Drew O'Connor, 3rd 6:41 — 52% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.76 G
- All situations
- 7 G2.9
- 1.04 G
- Even strength
- 5 G1.8
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 2 G0.4
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.69 – 2.40
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/5
- Power play
- 2/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 24
- Hits
- 23
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 18
- 3
- Giveaways
- 8
- 4
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 2-2
4@
3SOFinal
1@
2OTFinal
4@
1Final
6@
7this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















